Event GroupPOLYMARKETKALSHICross-Platform7 EventsPolitics
Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
Total Volume
$3.61M
Events
7
Markets
33
Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
Vol
$3.61M
|
Events
7
|
Markets
33
$3.61M
7
33
$3.61M
7
33
25 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Polymarket | Kalshi | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 20% | 1% |
 | 15% | 22% | 6% |
 | 13% | 13% | 0% |
 | 9% | 12% | 2% |
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
Different
Different
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states. Ceasefire announcement
If Israel and Lebanon normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The agreement must be ratified before Jan 1, 2027 to be included within the Payout Criterion. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will cou
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the L
If Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The agreement must be ratified before Jan 1, 2027 to be included within the Payout Criterion. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event oc
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will cou
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information f
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syr
If Israel and Syria normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The agreement must be ratified before Jan 1, 2027 to be included within the Payout Criterion. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will cou
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