Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The snapshot covers one Polymarket event, "Pro Football: Colts vs. Jaguars Season Series Winner," which resolves on the season series between the Indianapolis Colts and Jacksonville Jaguars during the 2026-27 NFL regular season [1]. The rules state that a Colts series win resolves to "Colts," a Jaguars win to "Jaguars," and a tie to "tie" [1]. The three saved markets are separate yes/no contracts, one for each of those outcomes.

The rules also cover disrupted seasons. If a scheduled game is cancelled or not completed, the series is decided only by completed games. If the series cannot be confirmed by January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. That January date is a resolution condition in the rules, not an announced event date.

Reading the snapshot

The provider recorded these prices at 2026-10-16T03:00:06Z. Retrieval occurred later, at 2026-10-16T05:24:25Z [1]. These are snapshot values, not current prices, and they are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

• Colts series win (Yes): 0.445
• Tie (Yes): 0.26
• Jaguars series win (Yes): 0.17

The listed end time is 2027-01-27T04:59:00Z, while the rules name January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET as the confirmation cutoff [1]. Readers should use the rule text for resolution logic and the listed end time only as the provider's recorded close.

The sample includes all three saved markets for this event, and the coverage record marks it as not partial [1]. The provider's warning, however, states that this does not establish that the list includes every possible real-world outcome [1]. The data does not show volume or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many people hold each view.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is, and it contains no news or context about the teams or schedule. Because only one platform appears, no cross-platform comparison is possible. The three prices belong to different outcomes, so they should not be averaged or treated as a single distribution. The saved Yes prices also do not sum to one, and the excerpt gives no basis for adjusting them. The 50-50 cancellation path is described in the rules but is not separately priced here.

References

1. Polymarket: Pro Football: Colts vs. Jaguars Season Series Winner. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.