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Events
GroupKALSHI
120th Congress: Will Schumer be reelected by voice vote?
120th Congress: Will Schumer be reelected by voice vote?
Vol

K 4.4K contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

1

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 15, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, Yes is priced at 7.5% on Kalshi.

Kalshi

  1. Yes7.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 4.4K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 15, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Related prediction markets

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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120th Congress: Who will get a vote for Speaker?

120th Congress: Who will get a vote for Speaker?

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Will it be confirmed that Ayanna Pressley receives at least one vote for Speaker of the House on a roll call at the opening of the 120th Congress?Yes 66%
Will it be confirmed that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez receives at least one vote for Speaker of the House on a roll call at the opening of the 120th Congress?Yes 64%
Will it be confirmed that Rashida Tlaib receives at least one vote for Speaker of the House on a roll call at the opening of the 120th Congress?Yes 51.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Schumer, Jeffries and Thune all be reelected leaders?

Will Schumer, Jeffries and Thune all be reelected leaders?

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Will Chuck Schumer, Hakeem Jeffries and John Thune all be reelected as their parties' leaders for the 120th Congress?Yes 88.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 22, 2027 UTC
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Next Senate Democratic Leader?

Next Senate Democratic Leader?

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Will Chuck Schumer win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?Yes 90.8%
Will Chris Van Hollen win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?Yes 8.5%
Will Brian Schatz win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?Yes 0.9%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Scott Colom back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?

Will Scott Colom back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?

K 3.6K contracts
Will Scott Colom endorse Chuck Schumer in the Senate Democratic leadership election for the 120th Congress before Jan 3, 2027?Yes 26%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC
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120th Congress: Speaker & Senate Majority Leader combo

120th Congress: Speaker & Senate Majority Leader combo

K 1.3K contracts
Speaker & Senate leader combo: Jeffries & Schumer?Yes 87%
Speaker & Senate leader combo: Jeffries & Van Hollen?Yes 9.5%
Speaker & Senate leader combo: Pressley & Van Hollen?Yes 2%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)

K 176.1K contracts
Will the Democratic party hold more than 220 House seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 99.5%
Will the Democratic party hold more than 241 House seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 99%
Will the Democratic party hold more than 238 House seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 99%
+20 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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