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Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform
Next Senate Democratic Leader?
Next Senate Democratic Leader?
Vol

PM $1.26M · K 11.44M contracts

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Events

3

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Markets

33

PolymarketKalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 15, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, Chuck Schumer is the highest-priced outcome on both platforms, at 91.5% on Polymarket and 90.8% on Kalshi.

Polymarket

  1. Chuck Schumer91.5%
  2. Chris Van Hollen7.8%
  3. Brian Schatz0.9%
  4. John Thune<0.1%
  5. John Barrasso<0.1%

Kalshi

  1. Chuck Schumer90.8%
  2. Chris Van Hollen8.5%
  3. Brian Schatz0.9%
  4. Elizabeth Warren0.5%
  5. Elissa Slotkin0.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $1.26M · K 11.44M contracts

Reported volume · provider units

33

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 15, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Related prediction markets

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Which senators will back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?

Which senators will back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?

K 35.1K contracts
Will it be confirmed that Kirsten Gillibrand publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?Yes 93.5%
Will it be confirmed that Mark Kelly publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?Yes 90.5%
Will it be confirmed that Ruben Gallego publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?Yes 89%
+30 moreNext deadline Jan 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?

Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?

K 17.3K contracts
Will it be confirmed that Bernie Sanders publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?Yes 95.5%
Will it be confirmed that Peggy Flanagan publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?Yes 92.5%
Will it be confirmed that Abdul El-Sayed publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?Yes 83.5%
+28 moreNext deadline Jan 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia?

Who will be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia?

K 0 contracts
Will Niki Sharma be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 16%
Will Josie Osborne be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 13%
Will Ravi Parmar be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 12.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?

120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?

K 42.2K contracts
Will Elissa Slotkin announce a run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 7%
Will Cory Booker announce a run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 4.5%
Will Brian Schatz announce a run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 3.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Italian Senate election winner?

Italian Senate election winner?

K 577.86 contracts
Who will win the next Italian Senate election? (Brothers of Italy)Yes 67.5%
Who will win the next Italian Senate election? (Democratic Party)Yes 25.5%
Who will win the next Italian Senate election? (Five Star Movement)Yes 3.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Scott Colom back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?

Will Scott Colom back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?

K 3.6K contracts
Will Scott Colom endorse Chuck Schumer in the Senate Democratic leadership election for the 120th Congress before Jan 3, 2027?Yes 26%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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Trade on PolymarketTrade on Kalshi