Market snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Trump Truth Social posts on Nov 1, 2026?

Reported volume

K 475.79 contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Trump Truth Social posts on Nov 1, 2026?

Vol

K 475.79 contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

As of Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is <5 at 37.5%.

Kalshi

<537.5%
40+33.5%
30-3927.5%
15-1926.5%
10-1426.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

8 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Donald Trump make below 5 Truth Social posts on Nov 1, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Donald Trump make below 5 Truth Social posts on Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	37.5%
Will Donald Trump make at least 40 Truth Social posts on Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	33.5%
Will Donald Trump make between 30 and 39 Truth Social posts on Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	27.5%
Will Donald Trump make between 15 and 19 Truth Social posts on Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	26.5%
Will Donald Trump make between 10 and 14 Truth Social posts on Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	26.5%
Will Donald Trump make between 20 and 24 Truth Social posts on Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	26.0%
Will Donald Trump make between 25 and 29 Truth Social posts on Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	14.5%
Will Donald Trump make between 5 and 9 Truth Social posts on Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	6.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 475.79 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

On Nov 1, 2026 If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Nov 1, 2026 is between X and Y then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The observation period begins at 12:00:00 AM ET on Nov 1, 2026 and ends at 11:59:59 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Payout criteria Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included if captured by Roll Call. "Between" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound. Doesn’t count for payout: Posts deleted as of 12:00 AM ET.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Trump Truth Social posts on Nov 1, 2026?
Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 475.79 contracts
Coverage: 8 of 8 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Donald Trump make below 5 Truth Social posts on Nov 1, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUTHSOCIALD-26NOV01-T5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtruthsociald-26nov01
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 30, 2027, 4:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 37.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 62.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Nov 1, 2026 is below 5, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved

The observation period begins at 12:00:00 AM ET on Nov 1, 2026 and ends at 11:59:59 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026.
The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call.
In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion.

Payout criteria

Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count.
Replies are included if captured by Roll Call.
"Between" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.

Doesn’t count for payout: Posts deleted as of 12:00 AM ET.

Contract: Will Donald Trump make at least 40 Truth Social posts on Nov 1, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUTHSOCIALD-26NOV01-T40; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtruthsociald-26nov01
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 30, 2027, 4:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 244 contracts
Outcome Yes: 33.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 66.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Nov 1, 2026 is at least 40, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved

The observation period begins at 12:00:00 AM ET on Nov 1, 2026 and ends at 11:59:59 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026.
The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call.
In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion.

Payout criteria

Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count.
Replies are included if captured by Roll Call.
"Between" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.

Doesn’t count for payout: Posts deleted as of 12:00 AM ET.

Contract: Will Donald Trump make between 5 and 9 Truth Social posts on Nov 1, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUTHSOCIALD-26NOV01-B7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtruthsociald-26nov01
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 30, 2027, 4:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 85.95 contracts
Outcome Yes: 6.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Nov 1, 2026 is between 5 and 9, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved

The observation period begins at 12:00:00 AM ET on Nov 1, 2026 and ends at 11:59:59 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026.
The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call.
In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion.

Payout criteria

Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count.
Replies are included if captured by Roll Call.
"Between" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.

Doesn’t count for payout: Posts deleted as of 12:00 AM ET.

Contract: Will Donald Trump make between 30 and 39 Truth Social posts on Nov 1, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUTHSOCIALD-26NOV01-B34; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtruthsociald-26nov01
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 30, 2027, 4:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 19.8 contracts
Outcome Yes: 27.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 72.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Nov 1, 2026 is between 30 and 39, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved

The observation period begins at 12:00:00 AM ET on Nov 1, 2026 and ends at 11:59:59 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026.
The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call.
In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion.

Payout criteria

Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count.
Replies are included if captured by Roll Call.
"Between" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.

Doesn’t count for payout: Posts deleted as of 12:00 AM ET.

Contract: Will Donald Trump make between 25 and 29 Truth Social posts on Nov 1, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUTHSOCIALD-26NOV01-B27; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtruthsociald-26nov01
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 30, 2027, 4:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 22.04 contracts
Outcome Yes: 14.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 85.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Nov 1, 2026 is between 25 and 29, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved

The observation period begins at 12:00:00 AM ET on Nov 1, 2026 and ends at 11:59:59 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026.
The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call.
In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion.

Payout criteria

Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count.
Replies are included if captured by Roll Call.
"Between" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.

Doesn’t count for payout: Posts deleted as of 12:00 AM ET.

Contract: Will Donald Trump make between 20 and 24 Truth Social posts on Nov 1, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUTHSOCIALD-26NOV01-B22; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtruthsociald-26nov01
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 30, 2027, 4:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 29 contracts
Outcome Yes: 26.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 74.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Nov 1, 2026 is between 20 and 24, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved

The observation period begins at 12:00:00 AM ET on Nov 1, 2026 and ends at 11:59:59 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026.
The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call.
In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion.

Payout criteria

Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count.
Replies are included if captured by Roll Call.
"Between" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.

Doesn’t count for payout: Posts deleted as of 12:00 AM ET.

Contract: Will Donald Trump make between 15 and 19 Truth Social posts on Nov 1, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUTHSOCIALD-26NOV01-B17; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtruthsociald-26nov01
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 30, 2027, 4:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 49 contracts
Outcome Yes: 26.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 73.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Nov 1, 2026 is between 15 and 19, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved

The observation period begins at 12:00:00 AM ET on Nov 1, 2026 and ends at 11:59:59 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026.
The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call.
In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion.

Payout criteria

Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count.
Replies are included if captured by Roll Call.
"Between" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.

Doesn’t count for payout: Posts deleted as of 12:00 AM ET.

Contract: Will Donald Trump make between 10 and 14 Truth Social posts on Nov 1, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUTHSOCIALD-26NOV01-B12; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtruthsociald-26nov01
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 30, 2027, 4:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 26 contracts
Outcome Yes: 26.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 73.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Nov 1, 2026 is between 10 and 14, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved

The observation period begins at 12:00:00 AM ET on Nov 1, 2026 and ends at 11:59:59 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026.
The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call.
In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion.

Payout criteria

Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count.
Replies are included if captured by Roll Call.
"Between" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.

Doesn’t count for payout: Posts deleted as of 12:00 AM ET.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics