Skip to main content
Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?
Vol

PM $761.29

|
Events

1

|
Markets

1

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31 at 50%.

Polymarket

  1. December 3150%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $761.29

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Donald Trump’s Social Media and Cryptocurrency company Trump Media and Technology Group and the fusion power company TAE Technologies announced they had agreed to a merger deal on December 18th, signaling a shift of focus for the Trump-owned firm. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/business/trump-media-tae-technologies-fusion-power-deal.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if the merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and TAE Technologies is completed by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal). Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution. If the merger agreement is officially terminated or the deal has been abandoned according to official company communications, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Trump Media and Technology Group, TAE Technologies, or a combined successor entity, supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

PM $24.3K · K 6.3K contracts

Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31?

Kalshi: Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on establishing or directing a mandatory federal review, evaluation, or approval process that at least one class of AI models must complete before public release before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 20%Rules differK Yes 14.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Largest Company end of December 2026?

Largest Company end of December 2026?

PM $8.63M
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 72.5%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 24.3%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 1.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on December 31?

What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on December 31?

PM $28.2K
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31?Yes 45.5%
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $397,000 and $407,000 on December 31?Yes 22.4%
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $407,000 and $417,000 on December 31?Yes 13.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?

What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?

PM $26.4K
Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?Yes 48%
Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31?Yes 39.5%
Will the median home value in the US be between $415,000 and $419,000 on December 31?Yes 7%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
What will the median home value in New York City be on December 31?

What will the median home value in New York City be on December 31?

PM $25.0K
Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?Yes 26%
Will the median home value in NYC be between $458,000 and $471,000 on December 31?Yes 25.6%
Will the median home value in NYC be less than $445,000 on December 31?Yes 21.7%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on December 31?

What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on December 31?

PM $24.2K
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?Yes 51.5%
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31?Yes 17%
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,126,000 and $1,137,000 on December 31?Yes 10%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

Trade This Market