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Events
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Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Vol

PM $56.1K

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Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, Yes is priced at 15.5% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes15.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $56.1K

Reported volume · provider units

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify. For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe. Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity. Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

PM $33.5K
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?Yes 17%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

PM $177.7K
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Yes 63.5%
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?Yes 10.8%
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

PM $272.8K
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2027?Yes 35.5%
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30, 2027?Yes 33.5%
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026?Yes 8%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

PM $1.41M
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by March 31?Yes 18%
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes 5.5%
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by October 31?Yes 0.8%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

PM $618.3K
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?Yes 26.5%
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

PM $65.8K
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 29%
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 6.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

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