
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
PM $56.1K
1
1
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

PM $56.1K
1
1
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, Yes is priced at 15.5% on Polymarket.
Polymarket
- Yes15.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $56.1K
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify. For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe. Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity. Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
PM $33.5K
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
PM $177.7K
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?
PM $272.8K
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
PM $1.41M
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
PM $618.3K
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?
PM $65.8KMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
