GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Georgia Senate margin of victory

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Georgia Senate margin of victory

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 2 percentage points?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 2 percentage points?	Kalshi	85%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 4 percentage points?	Kalshi	77%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 6 percentage points?	Kalshi	67%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 8 percentage points?	Kalshi	53%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 10 percentage points?	Kalshi	40%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 12 percentage points?	Kalshi	22%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 14 percentage points?	Kalshi	14%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 16 percentage points?	Kalshi	13%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 18 percentage points?	Kalshi	8%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

85%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On November 3, 2026 If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/part

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Georgia Senate margin of victory
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On November 3, 2026

If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/part

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.

For percentage points: the vote percentage receiv"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 8 percentage points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 6 percentage points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 4 percentage points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 77.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 2 percentage points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 85.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 18 percentage points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 16 percentage points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 14 percentage points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 12 percentage points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 10 percentage points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Georgia Senate margin of victory

Volume$0.00

Markets9

9 of 9

Sort:

KALSHI

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 2 percentage points?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.0¢No 15.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 2 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage receiv

KALSHI

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 4 percentage points?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 77.0¢No 23.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 4 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage receiv

KALSHI

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 6 percentage points?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 67.0¢No 33.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 6 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage receiv

KALSHI

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 8 percentage points?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.0¢No 47.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 8 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage receiv

KALSHI

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 10 percentage points?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 39.5¢No 60.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 10 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage recei

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

42¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/59KA6S" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Georgia Senate margin of victory"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Georgia Senate margin of victory

Georgia Senate margin of victory

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 2 percentage points?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Georgia Senate margin of victory

Markets (9)

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 2 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 2 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 4 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 4 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 6 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 6 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 8 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 8 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 10 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 10 percentage points?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 2 percentage points?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Georgia Senate margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 2 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 2 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 4 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 4 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 6 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 6 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 8 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 8 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 10 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 10 percentage points?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget