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Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Who will chair the June FOMC meeting?

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Who will chair the June FOMC meeting?

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Will Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	Kalshi	98%
Will Jerome Powell be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will John Williams be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Philip Jefferson be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Christopher Waller be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	Kalshi	0%
Will Stephen Miran be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	Kalshi	0%
Will Judy Shelton be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	Kalshi	0%
Will Michelle Bowman be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	Kalshi	0%

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About This Event

Jun 17, 2026 If X officially holds the position of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee, including in acting capacity, on Jun 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this contract, "officially holds" means any of the following: - X has been formally appointed, confirmed, if confirmation is required, and sworn in as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee, including in acting capacity, - X is listed in official government directories, organizational charts, or equ

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will chair the June FOMC meeting?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Jun 17, 2026

If X officially holds the position of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee, including in acting capacity, on Jun 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this contract, "officially holds" means any of the following: - X has been formally appointed, confirmed, if confirmation is required, and sworn in as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee, including in acting capacity, - X is listed in official government directories, organizational charts, or equ

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Stephen Miran officially holds the position of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this contract, "officially holds" means any of the following:

- Stephen Miran has been f"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Stephen Miran be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Philip Jefferson be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Michelle Bowman be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will John Williams be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Judy Shelton be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Jerome Powell be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Christopher Waller be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Who will chair the June FOMC meeting?

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KALSHI

Will Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

If Kevin Warsh officially holds the position of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this contract, "officially holds" means any of the following: - Kevin Warsh has been forma

KALSHI

Will Jerome Powell be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Jerome Powell be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

If Jerome Powell officially holds the position of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this contract, "officially holds" means any of the following: - Jerome Powell has been f

KALSHI

Will John Williams be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.4¢No 98.7¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will John Williams be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

If John Williams officially holds the position of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this contract, "officially holds" means any of the following: - John Williams has been f

KALSHI

Will Philip Jefferson be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.9¢No 99.1¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Philip Jefferson be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

If Philip Jefferson officially holds the position of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this contract, "officially holds" means any of the following: - Philip Jefferson has

KALSHI

Will Christopher Waller be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Christopher Waller be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

If Christopher Waller officially holds the position of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this contract, "officially holds" means any of the following: - Christopher Waller

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Will Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

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About This Event

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Events (1)

Who will chair the June FOMC meeting?

Markets (8)

Will Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Jerome Powell be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Jerome Powell be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will John Williams be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will John Williams be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Philip Jefferson be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Philip Jefferson be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Christopher Waller be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Christopher Waller be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

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Will Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will chair the June FOMC meeting?

Will Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Jerome Powell be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Jerome Powell be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will John Williams be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will John Williams be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Philip Jefferson be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Philip Jefferson be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Christopher Waller be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Christopher Waller be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

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