Who will chair the June FOMC meeting? | PredictPedia

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8 markets tracked

Will Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	Kalshi	66%
Will Jerome Powell be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	Kalshi	33%
Will Philip Jefferson be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will Stephen Miran be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will John Williams be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will Christopher Waller be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Michelle Bowman be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Judy Shelton be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	Kalshi	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, April 18, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will chair the June FOMC meeting?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Jun 17, 2026

If X officially holds the position of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee, including in acting capacity, on Jun 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this contract, "officially holds" means any of the following: - X has been formally appointed, confirmed, if confirmation is required, and sworn in as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee, including in acting capacity, - X is listed in official government directories, organizational charts, or equ

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Stephen Miran officially holds the position of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this contract, "officially holds" means any of the following:

- Stephen Miran has been f"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Stephen Miran be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Philip Jefferson be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Michelle Bowman be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will John Williams be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Judy Shelton be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Jerome Powell be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Christopher Waller be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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13¢

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Who will chair the June FOMC meeting?

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Will Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will chair the June FOMC meeting?

Markets (8)

Will Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Jerome Powell be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Jerome Powell be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Philip Jefferson be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Philip Jefferson be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Stephen Miran be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Stephen Miran be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will John Williams be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will John Williams be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will chair the June FOMC meeting?

Will Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Jerome Powell be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Jerome Powell be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Philip Jefferson be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Philip Jefferson be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Stephen Miran be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will Stephen Miran be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will John Williams be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Will John Williams be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

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