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Events
GroupKALSHI

Who will dissent at the December Fed meeting?

Who will dissent at the December Fed meeting?
Vol

K 14.8K contracts

|
Events

1

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Markets

12

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Michelle Bowman at 49.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Michelle Bowman49.5%
  2. Michael Barr49%
  3. Lisa Cook45.5%
  4. Neel Kashkari41.5%
  5. Philip Jefferson40%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 14.8K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

12

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

December 2026 FOMC If X formally dissented at the December 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs This market will close and expire early if the event occurs

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiEconomics
How many dissenting votes at the October Fed meeting?

How many dissenting votes at the October Fed meeting?

PM $66.9K · K 44.8K contracts

Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?

Kalshi: How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting? (0)

Related contracts

PM Yes 58%Rules differK Yes 22%

Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?

Kalshi: How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting? (0)

Related contracts

PM Yes 56%Rules differK Yes 22%

Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?

Kalshi: How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting? (2)

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.6%Rules differK Yes 35%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting?

PM $1.93M · K 527.2K contracts

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2027?

Kalshi: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.75%?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.6%Rules differK Yes 92%

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2027?

Kalshi: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 3.00%?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 91%

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤2.5% at the end of 2027?

Kalshi: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.50%?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.6%Rules differK Yes 89.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

26 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Oct 2026?

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

PM $93.47M · K 22.02M contracts

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 19.5%Rules differK Yes 95.5%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 63.5%Rules differK Yes 95.5%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 95%Rules differK Yes 95.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

100 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiFinance
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

PM $4.07M · K 4.0K contracts

Fed rate cut by June 2027 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by June 30, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 27.5%Rules differK Yes 21.5%

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.4%Rules differK Yes 5%

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.6%Rules differK Yes 5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Who will dissent at the October Fed meeting?

Who will dissent at the October Fed meeting?

K 31.7K contracts
Who will dissent at the October 2026 FOMC meeting? (Lorie Logan)Yes 74%
Who will dissent at the October 2026 FOMC meeting? (Beth Hammack)Yes 74%
Who will dissent at the October 2026 FOMC meeting? (Neel Kashkari)Yes 31.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Jun 2027 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Jun 2027 meeting?

K 33.8K contracts
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.25% following the Fed's Jun 9, 2027 meeting?Yes 94%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00% following the Fed's Jun 9, 2027 meeting?Yes 84%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Jun 9, 2027 meeting?Yes 83%
+22 moreNext deadline Jun 16, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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