Skip to main content
Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

2028 Presidential Election: North Carolina Winner

2028 Presidential Election: North Carolina Winner
Vol

PM $651.73

|
Events

1

|
Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Democratic Party at 82%.

Polymarket

  1. Democratic Party82%
  2. Republican Party47%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $651.73

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

The 2028 Presidential Election is expected to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate, or, in the case of an independent candidate, the named candidate, who wins the most valid statewide votes of any candidate in North Carolina in the 2028 Presidential Election. A candidate will be considered to represent a party if they are the nominee of that party. A candidate who is the nominee of either the Democratic or Republican Party will be considered to represent that party, regardless of any additional party affiliations they may have. This market resolves based on the candidate that wins the most statewide votes in the specified state in the 2028 US presidential election, regardless of the subsequent distribution of that state’s electoral college votes. For states using ranked-choice voting or another multi-round system, the vote count from the final round will be used. The nominees of relevant parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. If any named party nominee is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and this market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the statewide North Carolina results of the 2028 presidential election cannot be definitively determined by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution sources for this market are the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC; however, the certified statewide results of the 2028 presidential election may also be used. This market will resolve once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have all concurrently called the state for the same candidate. If one or more of these news organizations does not make statewide race calls for the 2028 presidential election it will be considered to have been struck from this list. If the relevant news organizations do not reach consensus, this market will resolve based on the certified results of the election reported by the state government.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Dominican PRM presidential nomination winner?

Dominican PRM presidential nomination winner?

K 0 contracts
Will David Collado win the Partido Revolucionario Moderno's nomination for the 2028 Dominican presidential election?Yes 62.5%
Will Carolina Mejía win the Partido Revolucionario Moderno's nomination for the 2028 Dominican presidential election?Yes 25%
Will Raquel Peña win the Partido Revolucionario Moderno's nomination for the 2028 Dominican presidential election?Yes 4.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 3, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

K 99.0K contracts
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 87.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Iowa holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 8%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that South Carolina holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 4.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?

Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?

K 206.3K contracts
Will Kansas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 28%
Will Texas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 25.5%
Will South Carolina be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 18.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
North Carolina House District 1 winner? (2028)

North Carolina House District 1 winner? (2028)

K 0 contracts
Will the Republican Party win the 2028 North Carolina House District 1 election?Yes 50%
Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 North Carolina House District 1 election?Yes 50%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
North Carolina House District 2 winner? (2028)

North Carolina House District 2 winner? (2028)

K 0 contracts
Will the Republican Party win the 2028 North Carolina House District 2 election?Yes 50%
Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 North Carolina House District 2 election?Yes 50%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
North Carolina House District 3 winner? (2028)

North Carolina House District 3 winner? (2028)

K 0 contracts
Will the Republican Party win the 2028 North Carolina House District 3 election?Yes 50%
Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 North Carolina House District 3 election?Yes 50%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

Trade This Market