GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHICommodities

How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash output token price (paid tier) get in 2026?

Total Volume

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How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash output token price (paid tier) get in 2026?

Vol

$0.00

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $8/MTok in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $8/MTok in 2026?	Kalshi	21%
Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $7/MTok in 2026?	Kalshi	12%
Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $6/MTok in 2026?	Kalshi	6%
Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $5/MTok in 2026?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

21%

Top Probability

$0.00

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About This Event

in 2026 If the Output Token Price, Paid Tier, of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash on https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/pricing#standard is at or below X in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the price listed of the Output Token Price, Paid Tier, for Google Gemini 3.5 Flash in in 2026 on https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/pricing#standard. The price must be explicitly displayed on the API pricing section of that page. If the product is renamed or succeeded, the clo

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash output token price (paid tier) get in 2026?
**Category:** Commodities | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** in 2026

If the Output Token Price, Paid Tier, of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash on https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/pricing#standard is at or below X in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the price listed of the Output Token Price, Paid Tier, for Google Gemini 3.5 Flash in in 2026 on https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/pricing#standard. The price must be explicitly displayed on the API pricing section of that page. If the product is renamed or succeeded, the clo

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash on https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/pricing#standard is at or below $8 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the price listed of the Output Token Price (Paid Tier) for Google Gemin"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $8/MTok in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $7/MTok in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $6/MTok in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $5/MTok in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHICommodities

How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash output token price (paid tier) get in 2026?

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KALSHI

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $8/MTok in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

KALSHICrypto

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $8/MTok in 2026?

If the Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash on https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/pricing#standard is at or below $8 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the price listed of the Output Token Price (Paid Tier) for Google Gemin

KALSHI

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $7/MTok in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢

KALSHICrypto

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $7/MTok in 2026?

If the Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash on https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/pricing#standard is at or below $7 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the price listed of the Output Token Price (Paid Tier) for Google Gemin

KALSHI

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $6/MTok in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHICrypto

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $6/MTok in 2026?

If the Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash on https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/pricing#standard is at or below $6 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the price listed of the Output Token Price (Paid Tier) for Google Gemin

KALSHI

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $5/MTok in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

KALSHICrypto

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $5/MTok in 2026?

If the Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash on https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/pricing#standard is at or below $5 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the price listed of the Output Token Price (Paid Tier) for Google Gemin

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

11¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/5fVdcn" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash output token price (paid tier) get in 2026?"></iframe>

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How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash output token price (paid tier) get in 2026?

How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash output token price (paid tier) get in 2026?

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Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $8/MTok in 2026?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash output token price (paid tier) get in 2026?

Markets (4)

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $8/MTok in 2026?

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $8/MTok in 2026?

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $7/MTok in 2026?

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $7/MTok in 2026?

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $6/MTok in 2026?

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $6/MTok in 2026?

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $5/MTok in 2026?

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $5/MTok in 2026?

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Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $8/MTok in 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash output token price (paid tier) get in 2026?

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $8/MTok in 2026?

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $8/MTok in 2026?

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $7/MTok in 2026?

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $7/MTok in 2026?

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $6/MTok in 2026?

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $6/MTok in 2026?

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $5/MTok in 2026?

Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $5/MTok in 2026?

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