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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Jonathan Powell out as UK National Security Adviser by...?

Jonathan Powell out as UK National Security Adviser by...?
Vol

PM $512.14

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31 at 48.5%.

Polymarket

  1. December 3148.5%
  2. October 3117%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $512.14

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jonathan Powell ceases to be the UK National Security Adviser for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Powell's resignation, removal, or other formal departure from this position before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/departure goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jonathan Powell or the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketWorld
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

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Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes 36%
Will Yoram Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Yes 11%
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Yes 8.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

K 1.5K contracts
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 24%
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 23%
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 19.5%
+26 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2035 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister?

Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister?

PM $33.2K · K 39.3K contracts

Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?

Kalshi: Will Andy Burnham announce their departure as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 6.7%Rules differK Yes 4.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Player Points Per Game (PPG) Season Averages

Player Points Per Game (PPG) Season Averages

K 720.4 contracts
Luka Doncic: 30.9+ PPGYes 80%
Cooper Flagg: 22.1+ PPGYes 80%
Austin Reaves: 21.7+ PPGYes 80%
+76 moreNext deadline Jul 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
College Football Coaches Out Before February

College Football Coaches Out Before February

K 72.3K contracts
Mike Norvell out before Feb 1, 2027Yes 75.5%
Deion Sanders out before Feb 1, 2027Yes 75.5%
Steve Sarkisian out before Feb 1, 2027Yes 55.5%
+34 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Pro Football Coaches Out Before March

Pro Football Coaches Out Before March

K 37.5K contracts
Dan Quinn out before Mar 1, 2027Yes 91%
Todd Bowles out before Mar 1, 2027Yes 88.5%
Nick Sirianni out before Mar 1, 2027Yes 81.5%
+29 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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