Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Who will be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Total Volume

$42.48K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Who will be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Vol

$42.48K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $42.48K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $42.48K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

23 markets tracked

Will John Healey be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(23)

Market	Platform	Price
Will John Healey be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?	Kalshi	14%
Will Miatta Fahnbulleh be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?	Kalshi	9%
Will Angela Eagle be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?	Kalshi	6%
Will Yvette Cooper be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?	Kalshi	4%
Will Wes Streeting be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?	Kalshi	4%
Will Pat McFadden be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?	Kalshi	4%
Will Louise Haigh be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?	Kalshi	4%
Will Indeterminate be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?	Kalshi	4%
Will Douglas Alexander be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?	Kalshi	4%
Will Alex Norris be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?	Kalshi	4%
Will Anneliese Midgley be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?	Kalshi	4%
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?	Kalshi	4%
Will Stephen Kinnock be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?	Kalshi	4%
Will Baroness Smith of Basildon be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?	Kalshi	4%
Will Angela Rayner be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?	Kalshi	4%
Will Alan Campbell be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?	Kalshi	4%
Will Lucy Powell be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?	Kalshi	3%
Will Lisa Nandy be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?	Kalshi	3%
Will Heidi Alexander be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?	Kalshi	3%
Will Chris Bryant be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?	Kalshi	3%
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?	Kalshi	3%
Will Jonathan Reynolds be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?	Kalshi	3%
Will Ed Miliband be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

14%

Top Probability

$42.48K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before Jan 1, 2028 If X is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. X member leaves the Cabinet upon the qualifying announcement of their resignation, dismissal, removal, non-reappointment, or other formal cessation of Cabinet membership. X change of portfolio or position within the Cabinet alone does not count. If two or more members leave on the same calendar date and the Source Agencies do not establish a clear chronological order, the tied m

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 1, 2028

If X is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. X member leaves the Cabinet upon the qualifying announcement of their resignation, dismissal, removal, non-reappointment, or other formal cessation of Cabinet membership. X change of portfolio or position within the Cabinet alone does not count. If two or more members leave on the same calendar date and the Source Agencies do not establish a clear chronological order, the tied m

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Yvette Cooper is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A member leaves the Cabinet upon the qualifying announcement of their resignation, dismissal, removal, non-reappointment, or other formal cessation of Cabinet membership. A"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $42.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Yvette Cooper be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Wes Streeting be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Shabana Mahmood be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Stephen Kinnock be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Pat McFadden be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Miatta Fahnbulleh be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Lucy Powell be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Lisa Nandy be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Louise Haigh be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Jonathan Reynolds be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will John Healey be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Indeterminate be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Heidi Alexander be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Ed Miliband be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Douglas Alexander be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Chris Bryant be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Bridget Phillipson be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Baroness Smith of Basildon be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Angela Rayner be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Alex Norris be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Anneliese Midgley be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Angela Eagle be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Alan Campbell be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Who will be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Volume$42.48K

Markets23

23 of 23

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KALSHI

Will John Healey be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.0¢No 86.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will John Healey be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

If John Healey is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A member leaves the Cabinet upon the qualifying announcement of their resignation, dismissal, removal, non-reappointment, or other formal cessation of Cabinet membership. A c

KALSHI

Will Miatta Fahnbulleh be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Miatta Fahnbulleh be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

If Miatta Fahnbulleh is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A member leaves the Cabinet upon the qualifying announcement of their resignation, dismissal, removal, non-reappointment, or other formal cessation of Cabinet membershi

KALSHI

Will Angela Eagle be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Angela Eagle be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

If Angela Eagle is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A member leaves the Cabinet upon the qualifying announcement of their resignation, dismissal, removal, non-reappointment, or other formal cessation of Cabinet membership. A

KALSHI

Will Yvette Cooper be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Yvette Cooper be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

If Yvette Cooper is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A member leaves the Cabinet upon the qualifying announcement of their resignation, dismissal, removal, non-reappointment, or other formal cessation of Cabinet membership. A

KALSHI

Will Wes Streeting be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Wes Streeting be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

If Wes Streeting is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A member leaves the Cabinet upon the qualifying announcement of their resignation, dismissal, removal, non-reappointment, or other formal cessation of Cabinet membership. A

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4¢

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Who will be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

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Will John Healey be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

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Events (1)

Who will be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Markets (23)

Will John Healey be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Will John Healey be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Will Miatta Fahnbulleh be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Will Miatta Fahnbulleh be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Will Angela Eagle be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Will Angela Eagle be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Will Yvette Cooper be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Will Yvette Cooper be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Will Wes Streeting be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Will Wes Streeting be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

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Will John Healey be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

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Who will be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Will John Healey be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Will John Healey be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Will Miatta Fahnbulleh be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Will Miatta Fahnbulleh be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Will Angela Eagle be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Will Angela Eagle be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Will Yvette Cooper be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Will Yvette Cooper be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Will Wes Streeting be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Will Wes Streeting be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

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