Market snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Event GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform3 EventsEntertainment

Critics Choice Awards: Best Visual Effects

Reported volume

PM $22.5K · K 29.9K contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

Critics Choice Awards: Best Visual Effects

Vol

PM $22.5K · K 29.9K contracts

Events

Markets

Polymarket Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, Dune: Part Three is the highest-priced outcome on both platforms, at 52.5% on Polymarket and 90% on Kalshi.

Polymarket

Dune: Part Three52.5%
Project Hail Mary25.5%
The Odyssey17.5%
Godzilla Minus Zero4%
Avengers: Doomsday3.2%

Kalshi

Dune: Part Three90%
The Odyssey88.5%
Project Hail Mary87.5%
Godzilla Minus Zero60%
Avengers: Doomsday48.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

25 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Werwulf be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

No data available

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Market	Polymarket	Kalshi	Diff

Single-Platform Markets(19)

Rules & Resolution

Differs

Saved matching review

Related contracts: 12 pairs

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

Review notes

Saved notes may describe earlier contract terms. Use the pair status above and current provider rules.

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 6 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Visual Effects". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 6 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Critics Choice Awards: Best Visual Effects". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $22.5K · K 29.9K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

In 2027 If X has won Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be held on January 03, 2027. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. The market will close and expire early following nominations being released, if X is not nominated, or the awards show.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Critics Choice Awards: Best Visual Effects
Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $22.5K · K 29.9K contracts
Coverage: 37 of 37 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSCHOICENOM-VIS27-PRO; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticschoicenom-vis27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 87.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 12.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Project Hail Mary is on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Project Hail Mary win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3388136; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-project-hail-mary-win-best-visual-effects-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190947191
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.9K
Outcome Yes: 25.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 74.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Project Hail Mary win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSVIS-27-PRO; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticsvis-27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 2.5K contracts
Outcome Yes: 16.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 83.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Project Hail Mary has won Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be held on January 03, 2027.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: The market will close and expire early following nominations being released (if Project Hail Mary is not nominated) or the awards show.

Contract: Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSCHOICENOM-VIS27-DUN; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticschoicenom-vis27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 90.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 10.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Dune: Part Three is on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3388137; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-dune-part-three-win-best-visual-effects-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190947192
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $18.1K
Outcome Yes: 52.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 47.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSVIS-27-DUN; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticsvis-27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 5.1K contracts
Outcome Yes: 35.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 65.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Dune: Part Three has won Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be held on January 03, 2027.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: The market will close and expire early following nominations being released (if Dune: Part Three is not nominated) or the awards show.

Contract: Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSCHOICENOM-VIS27-ODY; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticschoicenom-vis27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 88.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 11.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If The Odyssey is on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will The Odyssey win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3388138; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-odyssey-win-best-visual-effects-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190947193
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $719.9
Outcome Yes: 17.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 82.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will The Odyssey win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSVIS-27-ODY; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticsvis-27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 477.57 contracts
Outcome Yes: 21.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 78.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If The Odyssey has won Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be held on January 03, 2027.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: The market will close and expire early following nominations being released (if The Odyssey is not nominated) or the awards show.

Contract: Will Godzilla Minus Zero be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSCHOICENOM-VIS27-GOD; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticschoicenom-vis27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 7.7K contracts
Outcome Yes: 60.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 40.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Godzilla Minus Zero is on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Godzilla Minus Zero win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3388139; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-godzilla-minus-zero-win-best-visual-effects-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190947194
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $742.02
Outcome Yes: 4.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Godzilla Minus Zero win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSVIS-27-GOD; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticsvis-27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 8.8K contracts
Outcome Yes: 10.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Godzilla Minus Zero has won Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be held on January 03, 2027.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: The market will close and expire early following nominations being released (if Godzilla Minus Zero is not nominated) or the awards show.

Contract: Will Avengers: Doomsday be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSCHOICENOM-VIS27-AVE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticschoicenom-vis27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 48.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 51.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Avengers: Doomsday is on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Avengers: Doomsday win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3388140; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-avengers-doomsday-win-best-visual-effects-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190947195
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $590.65
Outcome Yes: 3.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Avengers: Doomsday win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSVIS-27-AVE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticsvis-27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 692.74 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Avengers: Doomsday has won Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be held on January 03, 2027.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: The market will close and expire early following nominations being released (if Avengers: Doomsday is not nominated) or the awards show.

Contract: Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSCHOICENOM-VIS27-SPI; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticschoicenom-vis27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 35.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 64.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Spider-Man: Brand New Day is on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3388141; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-spider-man-brand-new-day-win-best-visual-effects-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190947196
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $461.46
Outcome Yes: 0.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSVIS-27-SPI; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticsvis-27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 369.88 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Spider-Man: Brand New Day has won Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be held on January 03, 2027.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: The market will close and expire early following nominations being released (if Spider-Man: Brand New Day is not nominated) or the awards show.

Contract: Will Wildwood be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSCHOICENOM-VIS27-WIL; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticschoicenom-vis27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 15.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 84.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Wildwood is on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Whalefall be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSCHOICENOM-VIS27-WHA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticschoicenom-vis27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 16.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 84.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Whalefall is on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Werwulf be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSCHOICENOM-VIS27-WER; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticschoicenom-vis27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 200 contracts
Outcome Yes: 35.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 64.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Werwulf is on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Supergirl be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSCHOICENOM-VIS27-SUP; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticschoicenom-vis27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 8.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Supergirl is on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will The Sheep Detectives be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSCHOICENOM-VIS27-SHE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticschoicenom-vis27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 15.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 84.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If The Sheep Detectives is on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will The Mandalorian and Grogu be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSCHOICENOM-VIS27-MAN; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticschoicenom-vis27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 35.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 64.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If The Mandalorian and Grogu is on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will The End of Oak Street be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSCHOICENOM-VIS27-END; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticschoicenom-vis27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 15.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 84.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If The End of Oak Street is on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Disclosure Day be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSCHOICENOM-VIS27-DIS; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticschoicenom-vis27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 35.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 64.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Disclosure Day is on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Clayface be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSCHOICENOM-VIS27-CLA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticschoicenom-vis27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 15.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 84.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Clayface is on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Wildwood win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSVIS-27-WIL; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticsvis-27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 365.21 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Wildwood has won Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be held on January 03, 2027.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: The market will close and expire early following nominations being released (if Wildwood is not nominated) or the awards show.

Contract: Will Whalefall win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSVIS-27-WHA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticsvis-27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 599.16 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Whalefall has won Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be held on January 03, 2027.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: The market will close and expire early following nominations being released (if Whalefall is not nominated) or the awards show.

Contract: Will Werwulf win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSVIS-27-WER; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticsvis-27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 365.21 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Werwulf has won Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be held on January 03, 2027.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: The market will close and expire early following nominations being released (if Werwulf is not nominated) or the awards show.

Contract: Will Tie win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSVIS-27-TIE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticsvis-27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 365.21 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tie has won Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be held on January 03, 2027.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: The market will close and expire early following nominations being released (if Tie is not nominated) or the awards show.

Contract: Will Supergirl win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSVIS-27-SUP; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticsvis-27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 365.21 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Supergirl has won Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be held on January 03, 2027.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: The market will close and expire early following nominations being released (if Supergirl is not nominated) or the awards show.

Contract: Will The Sheep Detectives win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSVIS-27-SHE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticsvis-27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 365.21 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If The Sheep Detectives has won Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be held on January 03, 2027.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: The market will close and expire early following nominations being released (if The Sheep Detectives is not nominated) or the awards show.

Contract: Will The Mandalorian and Grogu win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSVIS-27-MAN; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticsvis-27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 365.21 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If The Mandalorian and Grogu has won Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be held on January 03, 2027.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: The market will close and expire early following nominations being released (if The Mandalorian and Grogu is not nominated) or the awards show.

Contract: Will The End of Oak Street win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSVIS-27-END; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticsvis-27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 365.21 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If The End of Oak Street has won Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be held on January 03, 2027.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: The market will close and expire early following nominations being released (if The End of Oak Street is not nominated) or the awards show.

Contract: Will Disclosure Day win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSVIS-27-DIS; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticsvis-27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 365.21 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Disclosure Day has won Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be held on January 03, 2027.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: The market will close and expire early following nominations being released (if Disclosure Day is not nominated) or the awards show.

Contract: Will Clayface win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCRITICSVIS-27-CLA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcriticsvis-27
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 505.58 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Clayface has won Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be held on January 03, 2027.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: The market will close and expire early following nominations being released (if Clayface is not nominated) or the awards show.

Saved cross-platform review:
polymarket-3388138 / kalshi-KXCRITICSCHOICENOM-VIS27-ODY: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?"; listed deadline 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will The Odyssey win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?"; listed deadline 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 22, 2026, 1:35 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 6 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Visual Effects". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-3388136 / kalshi-KXCRITICSCHOICENOM-VIS27-PRO: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?"; listed deadline 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Project Hail Mary win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?"; listed deadline 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 22, 2026, 1:35 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 6 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Visual Effects". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-3388139 / kalshi-KXCRITICSCHOICENOM-VIS27-GOD: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Godzilla Minus Zero be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?"; listed deadline 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Godzilla Minus Zero win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?"; listed deadline 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 22, 2026, 1:35 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 6 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Visual Effects". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-3388140 / kalshi-KXCRITICSCHOICENOM-VIS27-AVE: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Avengers: Doomsday be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?"; listed deadline 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Avengers: Doomsday win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?"; listed deadline 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 22, 2026, 1:35 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 6 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Visual Effects". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-3388137 / kalshi-KXCRITICSCHOICENOM-VIS27-DUN: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?"; listed deadline 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?"; listed deadline 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 22, 2026, 1:35 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 6 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Visual Effects". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-3388141 / kalshi-KXCRITICSCHOICENOM-VIS27-SPI: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?"; listed deadline 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?"; listed deadline 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 22, 2026, 1:35 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 6 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Visual Effects". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-3388137 / kalshi-KXCRITICSVIS-27-DUN: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?"; listed deadline 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?"; listed deadline 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 22, 2026, 4:05 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 6 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Critics Choice Awards: Best Visual Effects". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-3388136 / kalshi-KXCRITICSVIS-27-PRO: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Project Hail Mary win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?"; listed deadline 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Project Hail Mary win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?"; listed deadline 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 22, 2026, 4:05 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 6 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Critics Choice Awards: Best Visual Effects". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-3388139 / kalshi-KXCRITICSVIS-27-GOD: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Godzilla Minus Zero win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?"; listed deadline 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Godzilla Minus Zero win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?"; listed deadline 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 22, 2026, 4:05 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 6 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Critics Choice Awards: Best Visual Effects". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-3388138 / kalshi-KXCRITICSVIS-27-ODY: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will The Odyssey win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?"; listed deadline 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will The Odyssey win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?"; listed deadline 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 22, 2026, 4:05 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 6 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Critics Choice Awards: Best Visual Effects". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-3388140 / kalshi-KXCRITICSVIS-27-AVE: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Avengers: Doomsday win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?"; listed deadline 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Avengers: Doomsday win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?"; listed deadline 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 22, 2026, 4:05 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 6 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Critics Choice Awards: Best Visual Effects". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-3388141 / kalshi-KXCRITICSVIS-27-SPI: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?"; listed deadline 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?"; listed deadline 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 22, 2026, 4:05 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 6 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Critics Choice Awards: Best Visual Effects". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2028-01-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

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KALSHIEntertainment

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Visual Effects

Best Visual Effects | 32 If X is on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Volume$7.93K

Markets15

POLYMARKETCulture

Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Volume$22.48K

Markets6

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Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

kalshi

Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Yes: 90.0¢
No: 10.0¢

polymarket

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?

Yes: 52.5¢
No: 47.5¢

kalshi

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Yes: 35.0¢
No: 65.0¢

Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

kalshi

Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Yes: 87.5¢
No: 12.5¢

polymarket

Will Project Hail Mary win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?

Yes: 25.5¢
No: 74.5¢

kalshi

Will Project Hail Mary win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Yes: 16.5¢
No: 83.5¢

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

kalshi

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Yes: 88.5¢
No: 11.5¢

polymarket

Will The Odyssey win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?

Yes: 17.5¢
No: 82.5¢

kalshi

Will The Odyssey win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Yes: 21.5¢
No: 78.5¢

Will Werwulf be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

kalshi

Will Werwulf be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Yes: 35.5¢
No: 64.5¢

Will The Mandalorian and Grogu be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

kalshi

Will The Mandalorian and Grogu be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Yes: 35.5¢
No: 64.5¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiCulture

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

PM $448.9K · K 124.8K contracts

Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will John Malkovich be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 43.8%Rules differK Yes 95.5%

Will John Malkovich be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will John Malkovich be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 88%Rules differK Yes 95.5%

Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will Matt Damon be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 94%Rules differK Yes 88.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

64 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 21, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCulture

Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner

PM $197.3K · K 50.1K contracts

Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will Julianne Moore be on the list of nominees for Best Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 74.5%Rules differK Yes 90%

Will Kate O'Flynn win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will Kate O’Flynn win Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 5.1%Rules differK Yes 82.5%

Will Samantha Morton win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will Samantha Morton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 75.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

41 saved comparisonsNext deadline Mar 14, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCulture

Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner

PM $122.7K · K 99.2K contracts

Will The Odyssey win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.6%Rules differK Yes 92%

Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 21%Rules differK Yes 92%

Will The Debut win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will The Debut be on the list of nominees for Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 20.7%Rules differK Yes 90%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

42 saved comparisonsNext deadline Mar 14, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCulture

Oscar Winner: Best Picture

PM $686.8K · K 10.14M contracts

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Picture at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 43.5%Rules differK Yes 98.5%

Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Picture at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 97.1%Rules differK Yes 98.5%

Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Related contracts

PM Yes 97.1%Rules differK Yes 46.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

87 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 21, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCulture

Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner

PM $53.7K · K 145.5K contracts

Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will Christopher Nolan be on the list of nominees for Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 59%Rules differK Yes 92%

Will Olivia Wilde win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will Olivia Wilde be on the list of nominees for Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.6%Rules differK Yes 82.5%

Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will Denis Villeneuve be on the list of nominees for Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 12%Rules differK Yes 78.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

20 saved comparisonsNext deadline Mar 14, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCulture

Critics Choice Awards: Best Hair and Makeup

PM $29.8K · K 41.7K contracts

Will Werwulf win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will Werwulf be on the list of nominees for Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 37.4%Rules differK Yes 95%

Will The Odyssey win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 18%Rules differK Yes 83.5%

Will Digger win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?

Kalshi: Will Digger be on the list of nominees for Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 22.5%Rules differK Yes 60.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

16 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/6etCyt" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Critics Choice Awards: Best Visual Effects"></iframe>

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Will Werwulf be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

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Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Visual Effects

Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner

Markets (6)

Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Werwulf be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will The Mandalorian and Grogu be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

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Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner

Oscar Winner: Best Picture

Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner

Critics Choice Awards: Best Hair and Makeup

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Will Werwulf be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

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Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Visual Effects

Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner

Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Werwulf be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will The Mandalorian and Grogu be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

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