BNB Up or Down - October 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket contract covers the BNB price over a five-minute window, from 2:50AM to 2:55AM ET on October 20. According to the rules, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T06:55:00Z [1]. That timestamp is the contract's closing time, not evidence of when any outcome has occurred or been resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the market at 2026-10-19T09:00:05Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-19T09:32:38Z [1]. The market was listed as active at that time. The quoted prices were Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices from the observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The record does not include order book depth, spreads, or trading volume, so it cannot show how easily either side could be bought or sold.
The sample covers one market from one platform. The coverage record shows one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. Because only one event is saved, there is no cross-platform comparison here. The Up and Down prices are two outcomes of the same contract and should be read together, not treated as separate evidence. The record also does not explain why the prices sit where they do, and this summary does not offer a reason.
What remains uncertain
The evidence is limited to the saved snapshot. It does not show prices after 09:00:05Z on October 19, so the current quotes may differ. The rules compare the window's TWAP against the price at the window's start, so the outcome depends on Chainlink data that is not included in this record. No resolution has been recorded. The sample also does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome, though this contract is a binary Up or Down market.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window crypto price contract titled "BNB Up or Down - October 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET." The contract is listed in the Crypto category on Polymarket [1]. It asks whether BNB's price over a five-minute window will finish at or above where it started. The contract is still listed as active in the retrieved provider record [1]. The resolution rule is specific. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink's BNB/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The source states that the contract concerns only the price in that Chainlink data stream, not other sources or spot markets [1]. A reader should therefore check that data stream, rather than a particular exchange price, to understand how this contract will be settled. The listed end time is 2026-10-20T06:55:00Z, which corresponds to 2:55 AM ET on October 20 [1]. The observation for this entry was recorded at 2026-10-19T09:00:05Z, before that window opens. The price snapshot therefore reflects conditions at that earlier moment and does not describe the market at the time of this article's retrieval or at any later point.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether BNB's time-weighted average price over a specific five-minute window is at or above its price at the start of that window, using Chainlink's BNB/USD TWAP data stream as the reference [1]. Because the reference is a time-weighted average rather than a single trade, the outcome depends on the average across the whole window and not only on the final price [1]. Readers interested in this contract should focus on the stated rule and resolution source. The provider record shows one outcome priced at 0.505 for "Up" and 0.495 for "Down" in the saved snapshot [1]. These figures are snapshot prices from the observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities of the outcome.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does an "Up" outcome mean for this contract?
The contract resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that range [1].
Which price source decides the result?
The resolution source is the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream. The provider states that the market is about this data stream and not about other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the contract window end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T06:55:00Z, which is 2:55 AM ET on October 20 [1].
Do the prices in the snapshot show the current market?
No. The prices were recorded at the observation time of 2026-10-19T09:00:05Z, which is an earlier snapshot. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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