Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Will Kentucky distillery employment rise YoY?

Total Volume

$13.88K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Will Kentucky distillery employment rise YoY?

Vol

$13.88K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $13.88K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $13.88K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will Kentucky private employment in Distilleries (NAICS 312140) for June 2026 be above 7,542 jobs?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Kentucky private employment in Distilleries (NAICS 312140) for June 2026 be above 7,542 jobs?	Kalshi	11%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

11%

Top Probability

$13.88K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

June 2026 If BLS reports that Kentucky private employment in Distilleries (NAICS 312140) for June 2026 is above 7,542 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages data for Kentucky, private ownership, NAICS 312140 Distilleries, for June 2026. The 7,542-job threshold is fixed and will not change if the June 2025 figure is subsequently revised. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Kentucky distillery employment rise YoY?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** June 2026

If BLS reports that Kentucky private employment in Distilleries (NAICS 312140) for June 2026 is above 7,542 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages data for Kentucky, private ownership, NAICS 312140 Distilleries, for June 2026. The 7,542-job threshold is fixed and will not change if the June 2025 figure is subsequently revised. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If BLS reports that Kentucky private employment in Distilleries (NAICS 312140) for June 2026 is above 7,542 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages data for Kentucky, private ownership, NAICS 312140 Distilleries, for "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $13.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Kentucky private employment in Distilleries (NAICS 312140) for June 2026 be above 7,542 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 9, 2026): Vol $13.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics