Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Will Massachusetts scientific R&D jobs rise YoY?

Total Volume

$9.72K

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Will Massachusetts scientific R&D jobs rise YoY?

Vol

$9.72K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $9.72K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.72K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will Massachusetts’s annual-average employment in Scientific Research and Development Services for 2026 be above 103,400 jobs?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Massachusetts’s annual-average employment in Scientific Research and Development Services for 2026 be above 103,400 jobs?	Kalshi	62%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

62%

Top Probability

$9.72K

Volume

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About This Event

2026 If Massachusetts’s annual-average employment in Scientific Research and Development Services for 2026 is above 103,400 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is BLS series SMU25000006054170001, measured in thousands of jobs and not seasonally adjusted. The 2026 annual average will be calculated from the January–December 2026 BLS monthly values following the applicable annual benchmark revision. The 103.4 thousand-job threshold is fixed. This market will close and expire earl

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Massachusetts scientific R&D jobs rise YoY?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If Massachusetts’s annual-average employment in Scientific Research and Development Services for 2026 is above 103,400 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is BLS series SMU25000006054170001, measured in thousands of jobs and not seasonally adjusted. The 2026 annual average will be calculated from the January–December 2026 BLS monthly values following the applicable annual benchmark revision. The 103.4 thousand-job threshold is fixed. This market will close and expire earl

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Massachusetts’s annual-average employment in Scientific Research and Development Services for 2026 is above 103,400 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is BLS series SMU25000006054170001, measured in thousands of jobs and not seasonally adjusted. The 2026 annual"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Massachusetts’s annual-average employment in Scientific Research and Development Services for 2026 be above 103,400 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $9.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.5% (0.0%)]

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## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics