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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Swiss National Bank Decision in March?

Swiss National Bank Decision in March?
Vol

PM $2.0K

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Events

1

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Markets

5

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is No Change at 61.5%.

Polymarket

  1. No Change61.5%
  2. 25 bps increase24%
  3. 50+ bps decrease5.5%
  4. 50+ bps increase5.5%
  5. 25 bps decrease4.9%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $2.0K

Reported volume · provider units

5

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the March 2027 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its March 2027 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for March 18, 2027, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its March 2027 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Swiss National Bank rate decision in December

Swiss National Bank rate decision in December

PM $70.7K · K 31.6K contracts

Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Swiss National Bank maintain the current rate at the December monetary policy assessment?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 86.7%Rules differK Yes 86.5%

Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Swiss National Bank hike 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

Related contracts

PM Yes 11.3%Rules differK Yes 12%

Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Swiss National Bank hike more than 25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.1%Rules differK Yes 3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Swiss National Bank Decision in June?

Swiss National Bank Decision in June?

PM $910.39
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the June meeting?Yes 48%
Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the June meeting?Yes 20%
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the June meeting?Yes 19%
+2 moreNext deadline Jun 24, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of England Decision in March?

Bank of England Decision in March?

PM $1.4K
Will the Bank of England make no change to the Bank Rate at the March meeting?Yes 76%
Will the Bank of England increase the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?Yes 33%
Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?Yes 9.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Canada Decision in March?

Bank of Canada Decision in March?

PM $908.25
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the March interest rate announcement?Yes 16%
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the March interest rate announcement?Yes 9%
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the March interest rate announcement?Yes 8%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Brazil Decision in March?

Bank of Brazil Decision in March?

PM $602.3
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?Yes 46%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?Yes 38%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the March meeting?Yes 22%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Russia Decision in March?

Bank of Russia Decision in March?

PM $283.1
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?Yes 48%
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate at the March meeting?Yes 42%
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?Yes 30.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 19, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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