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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Bank of England Decision in March?

Bank of England Decision in March?
Vol

PM $3.7K

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Events

1

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Markets

5

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is No Change at 60.5%.

Polymarket

  1. No Change60.5%
  2. 25 bps increase33%
  3. 50+ bps decrease9.5%
  4. 25 bps decrease9.5%
  5. 50+ bps increase3%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $3.7K

Reported volume · provider units

5

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the March 2027 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its March 2027 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for March 18, 2027, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's March 2027 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Bank of England rate decision in November

Bank of England rate decision in November

PM $442.3K · K 12.6K contracts

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 98.1%Rules differK Yes 98.5%

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Maintain current rate at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 1.5%Rules differK Yes 1%

Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Cut more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of England Decision in February?

Bank of England Decision in February?

PM $2.0K
Will the Bank of England increase the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?Yes 57%
Will the Bank of England make no change to the Bank Rate at the February meeting?Yes 45%
Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?Yes 2.9%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of England decision in December?

Bank of England decision in December?

PM $25.8K
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?Yes 67%
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?Yes 30%
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting?Yes 2.7%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 17, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Swiss National Bank Decision in March?

Swiss National Bank Decision in March?

PM $2.0K
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting?Yes 61.5%
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?Yes 25%
Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?Yes 5.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Canada Decision in March?

Bank of Canada Decision in March?

PM $908.25
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the March interest rate announcement?Yes 16%
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the March interest rate announcement?Yes 9%
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the March interest rate announcement?Yes 8%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Brazil Decision in March?

Bank of Brazil Decision in March?

PM $715.3
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?Yes 46%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the March meeting?Yes 45%
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?Yes 39.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 17, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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