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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Swiss National Bank Decision in June?

Swiss National Bank Decision in June?
Vol

PM $910.39

|
Events

1

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Markets

5

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is No Change at 48%.

Polymarket

  1. No Change48%
  2. 50+ bps decrease20%
  3. 25 bps increase19%
  4. 50+ bps increase18%
  5. 25 bps decrease14%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $910.39

Reported volume · provider units

5

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the June 2027 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its June 2027 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for June 24, 2027, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its June 2027 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Swiss National Bank rate decision in December

Swiss National Bank rate decision in December

PM $70.7K · K 31.6K contracts

Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Swiss National Bank maintain the current rate at the December monetary policy assessment?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 86.7%Rules differK Yes 86.5%

Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Swiss National Bank hike 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

Related contracts

PM Yes 11.3%Rules differK Yes 12%

Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Swiss National Bank hike more than 25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.1%Rules differK Yes 3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Swiss National Bank Decision in March?

Swiss National Bank Decision in March?

PM $2.0K
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting?Yes 61.5%
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?Yes 24%
Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?Yes 5.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Dec 2026?

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

PM $11.00M · K 3.46M contracts

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2027 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 27.5%Rules differK Yes 94.5%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2027 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 70.5%Rules differK Yes 94.5%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2027 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 27.5%Rules differK Yes 81.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

66 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Bank of Mexico rate decision in November

Bank of Mexico rate decision in November

PM $165.5K · K 50.3K contracts

No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Mexico Maintain current rate at the November Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 83%Rules differK Yes 81.5%

Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Mexico Cut 25bps at the November Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 16.4%Rules differK Yes 18%

Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Mexico Hike 25bps at the November Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Bank of England rate decision in November

Bank of England rate decision in November

PM $442.0K · K 12.6K contracts

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 98%Rules differK Yes 98.5%

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Maintain current rate at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 2%Rules differK Yes 1%

Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Cut 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Bank of Canada Decision in December?

Bank of Canada Decision in December?

PM $160.7K · K 66.4K contracts

Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?

Kalshi: Will Bank of Canada hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 51.5%Rules differK Yes 51.5%

Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?

Kalshi: Will Bank of Canada maintain the current rate at their December 2026 meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 46.5%Rules differK Yes 49.5%

Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?

Kalshi: Will Bank of Canada cut rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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