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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Magic vs. Kings

Magic vs. Kings
Vol

PM $1.41M

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Events

1

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Markets

492

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 at 97%.

Polymarket

  1. Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 9.597%
  2. Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 1.597%
  3. Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 1.597%
  4. De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 1.594%
  5. Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.577%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $1.41M

Reported volume · provider units

492

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

In the upcoming NBA game between Magic and Kings, originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Thursday, November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The saved Polymarket event "Magic vs. Kings" covers an NBA game described as "upcoming" and "originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET" [1]. The rules state that if the Magic win, the market resolves to "Magic," and if the Kings win, it resolves to "Kings" [1]. The result is "determined based on the final score including any overtime periods" [1].

The rules also include a no-result provision. If the game "is canceled, does not start by Thursday, November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50" [1]. This is a conditional rule for specific scenarios, not evidence that any of them has occurred.

The provider lists the end time as 2026-11-11T03:00:00.000Z [1]. This is a contract field. It does not show that the game has been played or that either market has resolved.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed the event at 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-31T11:51:01.953Z [1]. The prices below describe that observation, not current conditions.

Two markets were saved. "Magic vs. Kings (Magic win)" shows Yes at 0.69 and No at 0.31. "Magic vs. Kings (Kings win)" shows Yes at 0.31 and No at 0.69 [1]. Both are listed as active. Because the two contracts are complementary, their Yes prices sum to 1.00 in this snapshot. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The evidence includes no volume figures, so it says nothing about liquidity or the number of participants.

The coverage record shows 2 of 2 saved markets included, with no partial sample [1]. The sample warning states that the saved markets do not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. The evidence contains no other markets for this game, so none are compared here.

What remains uncertain

The evidence contains no final score, no confirmation that the game has started or finished, and no resolution outcome. The listed close time does not establish when or how the market will settle.

The evidence also does not explain why the prices are where they are. It contains no team news, lineup information, or trading activity. Only one source is supplied, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. Readers should not treat the difference between the two Yes prices as an arbitrage signal without current, executable pricing and full rule review.

References

  1. Polymarket: Magic vs. Kings. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTC

This saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.

Overview

This is a sports contract on a single NBA game between the Orlando Magic and the Sacramento Kings. The provider rules say that if the Magic win, the market resolves to "Magic", and if the Kings win, it resolves to "Kings" [1]. The game was originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, as of when the first market for the event was created [1]. The saved event contains two binary markets, one for each team winning, and the provider lists both as active [1]. The rules say the outcome is based on the final score, including any overtime periods [1]. This means a game that goes to overtime is settled on the final result, not the score at the end of regulation. The rules also set out what happens if the game does not produce a result. If the game is canceled, does not start by Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. Before those provisions apply, the rules state that a market whose outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment will stand [1]. The saved event includes all of its markets, so there is no omitted contract on this event in the sample [1]. The sample does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome for a real-world game, and the two markets should be read as the complete saved set for this event rather than a ranking of outcomes.

Historical Context

The Orlando Magic were established in 1989 as an expansion franchise, and the Wikipedia article on the team reports that the franchise has played in the NBA playoffs 19 times in 37 seasons and reached the NBA Finals in 1995 and 2009, losing to the Houston Rockets and the Los Angeles Lakers respectively [3]. This is historical background from the Wikipedia article and does not describe the team's current form or the outcome of the November 2026 game.

Why It Matters

The contract measures whether the Magic or the Kings win one specific NBA game. Because each team has its own market, the saved prices describe how the two outcomes were priced in the captured snapshot, which is a market price rather than a verified probability [1]. The rules also matter for settlement: the final score including overtime decides the result, and the 50-50 provision applies if no official result is reached by the stated deadline [1].

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-31 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the market resolve if the Magic win?

If the Magic win, the market resolves to "Magic" [1].

Do overtime periods count?

Yes. The result is determined based on the final score including any overtime periods [1].

What happens if the game is canceled or not played in time?

If the game is canceled, does not start by Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market resolves 50-50 [1].

Can an outcome stand if the game is abandoned after a result is set?

Yes. If the market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand [1].

Was this helpful?
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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