Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Bundesliga: Teams relegated (2026-27)

Name: Bundesliga: Teams relegated (2026-27)
End: 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$24.21K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Bundesliga: Teams relegated (2026-27)

Vol

$24.21K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $24.21K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $24.21K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

18 markets tracked

Will SC Paderborn be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Will SC Paderborn be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	Poly	50%
Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	Poly	43%
Will Union Berlin be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	Poly	39%
Will 1. FC Köln be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	Poly	30%
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	Poly	28%
Will FC Schalke 04 be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	Poly	22%
Will Eintracht Frankfurt be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	Poly	17%
Will SV Elversberg be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	Poly	16%
Will Werder Bremen be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	Poly	13%
Will FC Augsburg be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	Poly	11%
Will Mainz 05 be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	Poly	9%
Will TSG Hoffenheim be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	Poly	8%
Will VfB Stuttgart be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	Poly	4%
Will Bayern Munich be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	Poly	3%
Will Borussia Dortmund be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	Poly	3%
Will Bayer Leverkusen be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	Poly	2%
Will RB Leipzig be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	Poly	2%
Will SC Freiburg be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$24.21K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Bundesliga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Bundesliga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Bundesliga. If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bundesliga: Teams relegated (2026-27)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jul 1, 2027 (263 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Bundesliga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Bundesliga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Bundesliga.

If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Bundesliga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Bundesliga for the following season through their final sta"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $24.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $25.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.96)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Bayer Leverkusen be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $295
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Bayern Munich be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $525
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Borussia Dortmund be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Borussia Mönchengladbach be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $144
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Eintracht Frankfurt be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will FC Augsburg be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will 1. FC Köln be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $883
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will FC Schalke 04 be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $189
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Mainz 05 be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will RB Leipzig be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $820
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will SC Freiburg be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will SC Paderborn be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $5.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will SV Elversberg be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $126
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will TSG Hoffenheim be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $472
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Union Berlin be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will VfB Stuttgart be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Werder Bremen be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports