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Event GroupKALSHIElections

DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)

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DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)

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Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 14000000 as of June 30, 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 14000000 as of June 30, 2026?	Kalshi	48%
Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 12000000 as of June 30, 2026?	Kalshi	46%
Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 18000000 as of June 30, 2026?	Kalshi	43%
Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 16000000 as of June 30, 2026?	Kalshi	38%
Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 20000000 as of June 30, 2026?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

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48%

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About This Event

as of June 30, 2026 If the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand is above X million dollars as of June 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** as of June 30, 2026

If the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand is above X million dollars as of June 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand is above 20 million dollars as of June 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 20000000 as of June 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 18000000 as of June 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 16000000 as of June 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 14000000 as of June 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 12000000 as of June 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)

as of June 30, 2026 If the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand is above X million dollars as of June 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume$0.00

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KALSHI

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 14000000 as of June 30, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.0¢No 52.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 14000000 as of June 30, 2026?

If the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand is above 14 million dollars as of June 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 12000000 as of June 30, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 45.5¢No 54.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 12000000 as of June 30, 2026?

If the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand is above 12 million dollars as of June 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 18000000 as of June 30, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 42.5¢No 57.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 18000000 as of June 30, 2026?

If the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand is above 18 million dollars as of June 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 16000000 as of June 30, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 16000000 as of June 30, 2026?

If the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand is above 16 million dollars as of June 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 20000000 as of June 30, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 20000000 as of June 30, 2026?

If the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand is above 20 million dollars as of June 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/9RW2Q5" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)"></iframe>

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DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)

DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)

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Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 14000000 as of June 30, 2026?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)

Markets (5)

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 14000000 as of June 30, 2026?

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 14000000 as of June 30, 2026?

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 12000000 as of June 30, 2026?

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 12000000 as of June 30, 2026?

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 18000000 as of June 30, 2026?

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 18000000 as of June 30, 2026?

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 16000000 as of June 30, 2026?

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 16000000 as of June 30, 2026?

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 20000000 as of June 30, 2026?

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 20000000 as of June 30, 2026?

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Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 14000000 as of June 30, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 14000000 as of June 30, 2026?

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 14000000 as of June 30, 2026?

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 12000000 as of June 30, 2026?

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 12000000 as of June 30, 2026?

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 18000000 as of June 30, 2026?

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 18000000 as of June 30, 2026?

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 16000000 as of June 30, 2026?

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 16000000 as of June 30, 2026?

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 20000000 as of June 30, 2026?

Will the Democratic National Committee's cash on hand be above 20000000 as of June 30, 2026?

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