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Events
GroupKALSHI

When will the first 2028 Democratic primary debate be?

When will the first 2028 Democratic primary debate be?
Vol

K 0 contracts

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Events

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Markets

8

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Before Jan 1, 2028 at 89%.

Kalshi

  1. Before Jan 1, 202889%
  2. Before Dec 1, 202786%
  3. Before Oct 1, 202779%
  4. Before Sep 1, 202770%
  5. Before Aug 1, 202759%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

8

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

2028 Democratic presidential nomination If a debate officially sanctioned by the Democratic National Committee, DNC, as a 2028 Democratic presidential primary debate takes place after Issuance and before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. X debate counts when it is officially sanctioned by the Democratic National Committee, DNC, as a 2028 Democratic presidential primary debate and at least two candidates for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination participate together. X debate held over two consecutive nights counts on its first night. The following do NOT count: Announcing or scheduling a debate that has not taken place Forums, town halls or other events where candidates appear one at a time Debates not sanctioned by the DNC Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications, from before Issuance, do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources, e.g., wire services, only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
When will the first 2028 Republican primary debate be?

When will the first 2028 Republican primary debate be?

K 400 contracts
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a debate officially sanctioned by the Republican National Committee (RNC) as a 2028 Republican presidential primary debate takes place before Mar 1, 2028?Yes 76%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a debate officially sanctioned by the Republican National Committee (RNC) as a 2028 Republican presidential primary debate takes place before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 70%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a debate officially sanctioned by the Republican National Committee (RNC) as a 2028 Republican presidential primary debate takes place before Dec 1, 2027?Yes 66%
+5 moreNext deadline Jun 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

K 101.5K contracts
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 83.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Iowa holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 9.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that South Carolina holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 4%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
South Carolina Democratic presidential primary winner?

South Carolina Democratic presidential primary winner?

PM $41.0K · K 9.8K contracts

Will Jon Ossoff win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?

Kalshi: Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 26.5%Rules differK Yes 25.5%

Will Raphael Warnock win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?

Kalshi: Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 16%Rules differK Yes 9.5%

Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?

Kalshi: Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 11.5%Rules differK Yes 11.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

18 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 23, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kentucky Democratic presidential primary winner?

Kentucky Democratic presidential primary winner?

K 4.3K contracts
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Kentucky Democratic primary?Yes 26%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Kentucky Democratic primary?Yes 15%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Kentucky Democratic primary?Yes 14.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nevada Democratic presidential primary winner?

Nevada Democratic presidential primary winner?

K 2.2K contracts
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?Yes 25%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?Yes 17.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?Yes 12.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alabama Democratic presidential primary winner?

Alabama Democratic presidential primary winner?

K 237.82 contracts
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Alabama Democratic primary?Yes 27%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Alabama Democratic primary?Yes 12.5%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Alabama Democratic primary?Yes 12.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC

Market Insights

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