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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Name: LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
End: 2026-05-04T23:15:00.000Z

Total Volume

$257.38

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Vol

$257.38

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $257.38

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $257.38

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

35 markets tracked

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(35)

Market	Platform	Price
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	65%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	65%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	65%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	51%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	51%
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
First Blood in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
First Blood in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	41%
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	Poly	33%
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Poly	31%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	23%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	23%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	21%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	21%
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Poly	20%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	20%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	20%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	8%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	8%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

65%

Top Probability

$257.38

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL match between Shifters and Movistar KOI in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 4 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win the match against Movistar KOI. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Shifters. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 4, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL match between Shifters and Movistar KOI in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 4 at 1:15PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win the match against Movistar KOI.

This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Shifters.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 


**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the LoL match between Shifters and Movistar KOI in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 4 at 1:15PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win the match against Movistar KOI.

This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the mat"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $257
* **Total Liquidity:** $42.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $52
  DATA: [Shifters: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [Movistar KOI: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Shifters: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [Movistar KOI: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Shifters: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [Movistar KOI: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Movistar KOI: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Shifters: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. First Blood in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Shifters: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Movistar KOI: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. First Blood in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Shifters: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Movistar KOI: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Volume$257.38

Markets35

35 of 35

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POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 65.0¢No 35.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 65.0¢No 35.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 2. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 65.0¢No 35.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. This market

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. This marke

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42¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/9vdJB5" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season"></iframe>

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LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

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Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Markets (35)

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

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Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

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