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Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?

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Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?

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Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Florida before Jan 1, 2027?

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Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Florida before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	88%
Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	74%
Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Nevada before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	71%
Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Georgia before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	26%
Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in California before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	17%

AI Analysis

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88%

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About This Event

Before Jan 1, 2027 If Tesla robotaxi service is offered to the general public X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. For "offered to": Tesla has launched a robotaxi service X that satisfies ALL of the following criteria: The service allows members of the general public to request rides through a publicly accessible application or platform, not limited to Tesla employees, beta testers, or invite-only participants, The vehicles operate without any human driver or safety monitor ph

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 1, 2027

If Tesla robotaxi service is offered to the general public X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. For "offered to": Tesla has launched a robotaxi service X that satisfies ALL of the following criteria: The service allows members of the general public to request rides through a publicly accessible application or platform, not limited to Tesla employees, beta testers, or invite-only participants, The vehicles operate without any human driver or safety monitor ph

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tesla robotaxi service is offered to the general public in Nevada before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For "offered to": Tesla has launched a robotaxi service in Nevada that satisfies ALL of the following criteria:

The service allows members of the general public"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Nevada before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 71.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Georgia before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Florida before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in California before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 74.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?

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KALSHI

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Florida before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.5¢No 12.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Florida before Jan 1, 2027?

If Tesla robotaxi service is offered to the general public in Florida before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For "offered to": Tesla has launched a robotaxi service in Florida that satisfies ALL of the following criteria: The service allows members of the general publ

KALSHI

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 74.0¢No 26.0¢

KALSHITech

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?

If Tesla robotaxi service is offered to the general public in Arizona before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For "offered to": Tesla has launched a robotaxi service in Arizona that satisfies ALL of the following criteria: The service allows members of the general publ

KALSHI

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Nevada before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 71.0¢No 29.0¢

KALSHITech

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Nevada before Jan 1, 2027?

If Tesla robotaxi service is offered to the general public in Nevada before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For "offered to": Tesla has launched a robotaxi service in Nevada that satisfies ALL of the following criteria: The service allows members of the general public

KALSHI

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Georgia before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 26.0¢No 74.0¢

KALSHITech

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Georgia before Jan 1, 2027?

If Tesla robotaxi service is offered to the general public in Georgia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For "offered to": Tesla has launched a robotaxi service in Georgia that satisfies ALL of the following criteria: The service allows members of the general publ

KALSHI

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in California before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 16.5¢No 83.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in California before Jan 1, 2027?

If Tesla robotaxi service is offered to the general public in California before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For "offered to": Tesla has launched a robotaxi service in California that satisfies ALL of the following criteria: The service allows members of the genera

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/ANXIyJ" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?"></iframe>

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Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?

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Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Florida before Jan 1, 2027?

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Events (1)

Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?

Markets (5)

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Florida before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Florida before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Nevada before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Nevada before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Georgia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Georgia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in California before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in California before Jan 1, 2027?

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Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Florida before Jan 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Florida before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Florida before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Nevada before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Nevada before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Georgia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Georgia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in California before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in California before Jan 1, 2027?

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