Skip to main content
Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupKALSHI

This Nov 2026 is the hottest November ever?

This Nov 2026 is the hottest November ever?
Vol

K 0 contracts

|
Events

1

|
Markets

1

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Hottest ever at 74.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Hottest ever74.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

In Nov 2026 If Nov 2026 is the hottest November ever, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiClimate and Weather
October 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

October 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

PM $31.7K · K 521.4K contracts

Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

Kalshi: Will Oct 2026 be the hottest Oct ever?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 96.8%Rules differK Yes 74%

Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

Kalshi: Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.8%Rules differK Yes 82%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiCommodities
Oil Price (WTI) on Election Day (November 3, 2026)?

Oil Price (WTI) on Election Day (November 3, 2026)?

K 1.12M contracts
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 72.49 USD/Bbl on Nov 3, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >74.99 on Nov 3, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 57.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 3, 2026?Yes 99%
+72 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?

Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?

K 7.3K contracts
Will above -25000 jobs be added in November 2026?Yes 85%
Will above 0 jobs be added in November 2026?Yes 77%
Will above 10000 jobs be added in November 2026?Yes 73%
+10 moreNext deadline Mar 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
When will Anthropic release Claude 6?

When will Anthropic release Claude 6?

PM $61.7K · K 31.4K contracts

Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?

Kalshi: Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 88.5%Rules differK Yes 91.5%

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 88.5%Rules differK Yes 25%

Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?

Kalshi: Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Jun 30, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 73%Rules differK Yes 70%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

7 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Number of tornadoes in Nov 2026?

Number of tornadoes in Nov 2026?

K 327 contracts
Will there be more than 25 tornadoes in November?Yes 76.5%
Will there be more than 50 tornadoes in November?Yes 51%
Will there be more than 75 tornadoes in November?Yes 35%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

K 30.9K contracts
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 79.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

Trade This Market