GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?

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$0.00

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Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Shaquille O'Neal appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Shaquille O'Neal appear in mobile game advertisement this year?	Kalshi	32%
Will The Rock appear in mobile game advertisement this year?	Kalshi	20%
Will Scarlett Johansson appear in mobile game advertisement this year?	Kalshi	16%
Will Paul George appear in mobile game advertisement this year?	Kalshi	15%
Will Dua Lipa appear in mobile game advertisement this year?	Kalshi	12%
Will Timothée Chalamet appear in mobile game advertisement this year?	Kalshi	9%
Will Selena Gomez appear in mobile game advertisement this year?	Kalshi	8%
Will Beyoncé appear in mobile game advertisement this year?	Kalshi	8%
Will Taylor Swift appear in mobile game advertisement this year?	Kalshi	6%
Will Jay-Z appear in mobile game advertisement this year?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

32%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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Platforms

About This Event

Before Jan 1, 2027 If X makes a qualifying appearance in any paid promotional content whose primary purpose is to market, promote, or advertise a mobile game that is available, or intended to be available, on smartphones or tablets before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 1, 2027

If X makes a qualifying appearance in any paid promotional content whose primary purpose is to market, promote, or advertise a mobile game that is available, or intended to be available, on smartphones or tablets before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Timothée Chalamet makes a qualifying appearance in any paid promotional content whose primary purpose is to market, promote, or advertise a mobile game that is available, or intended to be available, on smartphones or tablets before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Timothée Chalamet appear in mobile game advertisement this year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Taylor Swift appear in mobile game advertisement this year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Shaquille O'Neal appear in mobile game advertisement this year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Selena Gomez appear in mobile game advertisement this year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Scarlett Johansson appear in mobile game advertisement this year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will The Rock appear in mobile game advertisement this year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Paul George appear in mobile game advertisement this year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Jay-Z appear in mobile game advertisement this year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Dua Lipa appear in mobile game advertisement this year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Beyoncé appear in mobile game advertisement this year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?

Volume$0.00

Markets10

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KALSHI

Will Shaquille O'Neal appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 31.5¢No 68.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Shaquille O'Neal appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

If Shaquille O'Neal makes a qualifying appearance in any paid promotional content whose primary purpose is to market, promote, or advertise a mobile game that is available, or intended to be available, on smartphones or tablets before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will The Rock appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.0¢No 80.0¢

KALSHISports

Will The Rock appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

If The Rock makes a qualifying appearance in any paid promotional content whose primary purpose is to market, promote, or advertise a mobile game that is available, or intended to be available, on smartphones or tablets before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will Scarlett Johansson appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 16.0¢No 84.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Scarlett Johansson appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

If Scarlett Johansson makes a qualifying appearance in any paid promotional content whose primary purpose is to market, promote, or advertise a mobile game that is available, or intended to be available, on smartphones or tablets before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will Paul George appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Paul George appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

If Paul George makes a qualifying appearance in any paid promotional content whose primary purpose is to market, promote, or advertise a mobile game that is available, or intended to be available, on smartphones or tablets before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will Dua Lipa appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Dua Lipa appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

If Dua Lipa makes a qualifying appearance in any paid promotional content whose primary purpose is to market, promote, or advertise a mobile game that is available, or intended to be available, on smartphones or tablets before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Average Yes Price

13¢

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Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?

Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?

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Will Shaquille O'Neal appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?

Markets (10)

Will Shaquille O'Neal appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

Will Shaquille O'Neal appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

Will The Rock appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

Will The Rock appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

Will Scarlett Johansson appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

Will Scarlett Johansson appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

Will Paul George appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

Will Paul George appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

Will Dua Lipa appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

Will Dua Lipa appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

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Discussion

Market Insights

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Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Shaquille O'Neal appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?

Will Shaquille O'Neal appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

Will Shaquille O'Neal appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

Will The Rock appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

Will The Rock appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

Will Scarlett Johansson appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

Will Scarlett Johansson appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

Will Paul George appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

Will Paul George appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

Will Dua Lipa appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

Will Dua Lipa appear in mobile game advertisement this year?

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