Dallas vs Indianapolis: 3rd Quarter Spread
K 0 contracts
1
11
Dallas vs Indianapolis: 3rd Quarter Spread
K 0 contracts
1
11
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 5, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Dallas wins by over 1.5 points at 47.5%.
Kalshi
- Dallas wins by over 1.5 points47.5%
- Dallas wins by over 2.5 points46.5%
- Dallas wins by over 3.5 points37.5%
- Indianapolis wins by over 2.5 points29%
- Dallas wins by over 6.5 points26.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
11
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 5, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
DAL vs IND (Nov 8) If Indianapolis wins by more than X points in the 3rd Quarter of the Dallas vs Indianapolis Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 3rd Quarter of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after the event occurs.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-03T21:00:06.031Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event asks about the third quarter only. Under the contract rules, if Indianapolis wins by more than X points in the 3rd Quarter, the market resolves to Yes, and "Only points scored during the 3rd Quarter of play count towards this market" [1]. The eleven listed markets use different thresholds and teams, so each one is a separate yes or no question. The rules also say "This market will close and expire after the event occurs" [1].
The listed close time on each market is 2026-11-10T18:00:00.000Z [1]. The event excerpt names the game as "originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026" [1], but the supplied evidence does not explain why the listed end date differs from that scheduled date. Readers should not treat the listed end date as the game date or as a confirmed resolution date. The excerpt also states "Listed end time: not supplied" [1], so the source provides no separate event end time.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-11-03T21:00:06.031Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-04T06:14:56.764Z [1]. These prices describe that saved snapshot only and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
All eleven saved markets are included, and the coverage record reports no partial sample [1]. The Yes prices run from 0.035 to 0.445. For example, "Dallas wins 3Q by over 1.5 points?" shows Yes at 0.445 and No at 0.555 [1]. "Indianapolis wins 3Q by over 10.5 points?" shows Yes at 0.035 [1].
Some prices do not fall in the order a reader might expect from the thresholds alone. "Dallas wins 3Q by over 6.5 points?" is at 0.315, while "Dallas wins 3Q by over 3.5 points?" is at 0.29 [1]. The evidence does not explain this, so this comparison should be read as a fact about the snapshot, not as a clear pattern.
Volume is not included in the interpretation here, and the prices should not be combined into a single view of the game. The markets cover different thresholds and teams.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is, and it does not show how many traders are involved. The saved sample does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome for this quarter [1]. The current status of these prices after 2026-11-03T21:00:06.031Z is not known from this evidence. The final result and the actual resolution are also not included.
References
- Kalshi: Dallas vs Indianapolis: 3rd Quarter Spread . Provider data observed 2026-11-03T21:00:06.031Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 4, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi contract on the third-quarter point spread for a Dallas vs Indianapolis professional football game. The provider event is titled "Dallas vs Indianapolis: 3rd Quarter Spread," and its listing describes the game as originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 [1]. The word "originally" matters: the contract text refers to the game as scheduled for that date, and the saved record does not say whether the date or any other detail changed afterward. The core rule is narrow. The contract resolves to Yes if Indianapolis wins the third quarter by more than a set number of points, and only points scored during the third quarter count toward the market [1]. The rule text uses a placeholder X for that threshold. The individual markets in the saved event use specific thresholds instead, with titles such as "Dallas wins 3Q by over 1.5 points?" and "Indianapolis wins 3Q by over 2.5 points?" [1]. Each market is a separate yes-or-no question about one threshold and one team. Full-game scores, halftime margins, and results from other quarters are not part of the resolution test as the excerpt describes it. The provider states that the market will close and expire after the event occurs [1]. The saved market records list an end date of November 10, 2026 at 18:00 UTC [1]. That date is a field in the provider data and the contract's closing mechanics. It is not an announced game date or a confirmed resolution date, and the excerpt does not supply a separate listed end time. The provider also states that Kalshi is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected to the governing league, and that team names, trademarks, and logos belong to their respective owners [1]. Any reader should treat the contract as a market run by a separate platform, not as an official league product. The prices in the saved snapshot are the last observed values for each Yes and No outcome in this event [1]. They are snapshots, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of any result. Trading volume in the saved records is not reported here as a measure of liquidity or number of participants.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow slice of one game: the margin in the third quarter only. Traders who hold a view on how the game will unfold in that quarter can express it through a threshold market, and the spread of thresholds lets the market show different price levels for different margins [1]. Because the rule counts only third-quarter points, the contract does not depend on who wins the full game. It also means that a single quarter can resolve a market even when the final result differs. The provider notes that the market closes and expires after the event occurs, so the resolution depends on the game being played and its quarter-level scoring being recorded according to the contract terms [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-03 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the contract measure?
It measures whether Indianapolis wins the third quarter by more than a set number of points, with only third-quarter points counted toward the market [1]. The individual markets in the event use different thresholds and are presented as separate yes-or-no questions [1].
Do points from other quarters count?
No. The contract text says only points scored during the third quarter count toward this market [1].
Is this contract affiliated with the league?
The provider states that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing league [1].
Do the listed prices show the chance of each outcome?
The saved prices are snapshots of Yes and No values from the provider record, observed in the record as of November 3, 2026 at 21:00 UTC [1]. They are not executable quotes and should not be treated as verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Dallas vs Indianapolis: 3rd Quarter Winner
K 0 contracts
Dallas vs Indianapolis: 2nd Quarter Spread
K 0 contracts
Dallas vs Indianapolis: 4th Quarter Spread
K 0 contracts
Dallas vs Indianapolis: 1st Quarter Spread
K 0 contracts
Dallas vs Indianapolis: Spread
K 140.1K contracts
Utah vs Dallas: 3rd Quarter Winner
K 0 contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
