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Event GroupKALSHIElections

How many House Representatives will be expelled before June?

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How many House Representatives will be expelled before June?

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6 markets tracked

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 0?

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Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 0?	Kalshi	92%
Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 1?	Kalshi	9%
Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 2?	Kalshi	2%
Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be at least 5?	Kalshi	1%
Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 4?	Kalshi	1%
Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 3?	Kalshi	1%

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92%

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About This Event

before June 2026 If the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 is exactly X then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many House Representatives will be expelled before June?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** before June 2026

If the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 is exactly X then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 is at least 5, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be at least 5? 
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 4?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 2?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

How many House Representatives will be expelled before June?

before June 2026 If the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 is exactly X then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume$0.00

Markets6

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KALSHI

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 0?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 0?

If the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 is exactly 0, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 1?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 1?

If the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 2?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.0¢No 98.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 2?

If the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 is exactly 2, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be at least 5?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be at least 5?

If the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 is at least 5, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 4?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 4?

If the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 is exactly 4, then the market resolves to Yes.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/BDys0n" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="How many House Representatives will be expelled before June?"></iframe>

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How many House Representatives will be expelled before June?

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Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 0?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

How many House Representatives will be expelled before June?

Markets (6)

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 0?

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 0?

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 1?

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 1?

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 2?

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 2?

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be at least 5?

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be at least 5?

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 4?

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 4?

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Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 0?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many House Representatives will be expelled before June?

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 0?

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 0?

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 1?

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 1?

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 2?

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 2?

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be at least 5?

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be at least 5?

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 4?

Will the number of U.S. House Representatives expelled before June 2026 be exactly 4?

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