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Events
GroupKALSHI

Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 31, 2026

Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 31, 2026
Vol

K 0 contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

11

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is At least 180,000 at 89.5%.

Kalshi

  1. At least 180,00089.5%
  2. At least 210,00049.5%
  3. At least 205,00049.5%
  4. At least 200,00049.5%
  5. At least 195,00049.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

11

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

For the week ending Oct 31, 2026 If there are at least X initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiSports
Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 24, 2026

Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 24, 2026

K 0 contracts
Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 24, 2026 be at least 1760K?Yes 49.5%
Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 24, 2026 be at least 1750K?Yes 49.5%
Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 24, 2026 be at least 1740K?Yes 49.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
US SPR level for the week ending October 30, 2026

US SPR level for the week ending October 30, 2026

K 71 contracts
Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 30, 2026 be above 277M?Yes 51.5%
Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 30, 2026 be above 288M?Yes 50%
Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 30, 2026 be above 287M?Yes 50%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 30, 2026

US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 30, 2026

K 1.0K contracts
Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 30, 2026 be above 403 million barrels?Yes 90.5%
Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 30, 2026 be above 404 million barrels?Yes 87.5%
Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 30, 2026 be above 405 million barrels?Yes 86%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Best LLM at the end of the decade?

Best LLM at the end of the decade?

PM $7.69M · K 17.21M contracts

Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)

Related contracts

PM Yes 97.5%Rules differK Yes 22.7%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Google)

Needs review

PM Yes 96.8%Review neededK Yes 21%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Gemini)

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.8%Rules differK Yes 54.3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

82 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Diesel prices in Oct 2026

Diesel prices in Oct 2026

K 554.7K contracts
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.60?Yes 97%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.50?Yes 97%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.70?Yes 96.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

PM $533.8K · K 20.1K contracts

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?

Kalshi: Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Xiaomi)

Related contracts

PM Yes 35%Rules differK Yes 92%

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Xiaomi)

Related contracts

PM Yes 90%Rules differK Yes 92%

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?

Kalshi: Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Alibaba)

Related contracts

PM Yes 31%Rules differK Yes 2%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

18 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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