#2 Spotify Song 2026
PM $133.2K
1
14
#2 Spotify Song 2026
PM $133.2K
1
14
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Babydoll – Dominic Fike at 88%.
Polymarket
- Babydoll – Dominic Fike88%
- End of Beginning – Djo11%
- Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson0.3%
- Swim – BTS0.3%
- Billie Jean – Michael Jackson0.3%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $133.2K
Reported volume · provider units
14
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song globally for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song of 2026. The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If Spotify does not release who their #2 song for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This event asks which song Spotify will list as its #2 most streamed song globally for 2026. The market states that "The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking," and that ties are broken "by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles" [1]. Each individual market asks whether one named song will be the #2 song, and it resolves according to the name Spotify lists [1].
The rules also set a fallback. If Spotify does not release its #2 song "by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other"" [1]. The listed end time of 2027-02-01T04:59:00.000Z matches that deadline in UTC [1]. This deadline is a contract rule, not an announced Spotify release date.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-19T03:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-19T04:25:21Z [1]. The prices below describe the observation time only. They are snapshots, not live quotes or verified probabilities.
The sample is partial. The saved Polymarket event contains 14 markets, and 12 are included [1]. Markets were selected by Yes price, then volume, so the two omitted markets are not displayed. No conclusion about their prices can be drawn from their absence.
Among the included markets, the Yes price for Babydoll by Dominic Fike is 0.79, and the Yes price for End of Beginning by Djo is 0.19 [1]. Several other included songs show Yes prices between 0.0005 and 0.004 [1]. These figures should be read separately for each song. They are not averaged or ranked against any other platform or event.
What remains uncertain
Only one provider event is supplied, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. Differences in price between separate contracts do not by themselves indicate an opportunity, since their wording, close times, and samples may differ.
The evidence does not explain why any price is at its current level, and it does not describe recent news about Spotify's chart. It also does not state when Spotify will publish its 2026 results. The resolution outcome is unknown from this snapshot.
References
- Polymarket: #2 Spotify Song 2026. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia contract asks which song Spotify will list as its second most-streamed song of 2026. The market is tied to Spotify's year-end recap, which Spotify typically releases as part of Spotify Wrapped [1]. The contract states that it refers to the most streamed Spotify song globally for 2026 and that it will resolve according to the name Spotify lists as the number two song of that year [1]. The rules say the named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, the tie is broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. The market resolves to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after that ranking is applied [1]. Because the outcome depends on Spotify's own published list, the resolution source is Spotify's official information rather than any third-party chart [1]. The contract also includes a fallback. If Spotify does not release its number two song for 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The listed end time for the event is 2027-02-01T04:59:00.000Z, which corresponds to that deadline in Eastern Time [1]. This is a contract rule and a closing time, not an announced date for when Spotify will publish its results. For each candidate song, the market offers a Yes and a No outcome. A Yes price is a snapshot of the trading price at the moment it was observed. It is not an executable quote and it is not a verified probability that the song will finish second. Trading volume also does not indicate liquidity or how many people took part.
Historical Context
Spotify's annual recap is the basis for this contract, and the market refers to the most streamed Spotify song globally for 2026 [1]. Wikipedia maintains a list of Spotify streaming records that covers the most streamed songs and albums and chart records on the platform [2]. A separate Wikipedia list says that, as of April 2026, Taylor Swift is the most-streamed artist in Spotify's history and Bad Bunny is the most-streamed male artist [3]. These lists are background on Spotify's streaming history and do not confirm how the 2026 year-end ranking will turn out.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which song Spotify reports as its second most-streamed song of 2026. Its value comes from how Spotify ranks songs and publishes the final list, so the market is tied to a single official publication rather than to ongoing charts [1]. Because the rule sets a deadline and a fallback to Other, the contract also tracks whether Spotify publishes its second-place song by the stated time [1]. Traders can read the Yes prices as the market's current view of each candidate, but those prices reflect trading activity at a single observation time and are not confirmed forecasts [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
How is the winning song chosen?
The market resolves according to the name of the song Spotify lists as its #2 song of 2026. The songs are primarily ranked by chart ranking, and ties are broken by alphabetical order of their listed titles [1].
What happens if Spotify does not publish its #2 song in time?
If Spotify does not release its #2 song for 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other [1].
Do the prices show the chance that a song will finish second?
No. The prices are snapshots of trading activity at the observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.