#2 US Spotify Song 2026
PM $111.8K
1
13
#2 US Spotify Song 2026
PM $111.8K
1
13
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Man I Need – Olivia Dean at 62.3%.
Polymarket
- Man I Need – Olivia Dean62.3%
- Earrings – Malcom Todd33.5%
- Choosin Texas – Ella Langley0.1%
- Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars0.1%
- Risk It All – Bruno Mars0.1%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $111.8K
Reported volume · provider units
13
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song in the US for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song in the US of 2026. The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If Spotify does not release who their #2 song in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This event asks which song Spotify will list as its #2 most streamed song in the US for 2026. The resolution rule states that the market "will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song in the US of 2026." [1] Songs are primarily ranked by chart ranking, and ties are broken by alphabetical order of the listed titles [1]. Each market asks whether one named song will hold that position. If Spotify does not release its #2 song by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1].
The listed close times differ across contracts. Two markets list 2027-02-01T04:59:00.000Z, while the others list 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z [1]. These are contract end times, not announced dates for Spotify's results. The evidence does not establish when Spotify will publish its ranking.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z, and this record was retrieved at 2026-10-19T09:34:21.620Z [1]. The prices below describe that snapshot only.
In the saved sample, "Earrings" by Malcom Todd has the highest Yes price at 0.455, followed by "Man I Need" by Olivia Dean at 0.385 [1]. Several other named songs are priced at 0.0015 or lower, and "Swim" by BTS is at 0.0005 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The sample is partial. The event has 13 markets in total, and 12 are included [1]. The omitted market is not in this record, so nothing can be inferred about its price from its absence. The ranking applies only to this Polymarket event and should not be combined with other events or platforms.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is. It also does not report trader counts or liquidity. The sample ordering uses volume only after price, so the included volume figures do not indicate how deep any market is. The evidence does not show whether Spotify has released its #2 song, so the eventual outcome is unknown. Readers should check the contract rules and the current status at the source before relying on any figure.
References
- Polymarket: #2 US Spotify Song 2026. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This article covers a contract titled "#2 US Spotify Song 2026". The contract asks which song Spotify will list as the second most streamed song in the United States for 2026. The provider's rules say the market will resolve according to the song Spotify lists in that position, and that the ranking is primarily based on chart ranking [1]. Spotify has an annual listing of its most streamed songs, and the provider's rules point to Spotify's Wrapped coverage as the place where that information is typically published [1]. The rules set a fallback. If Spotify does not release its second-place song for the US in 2026 by January 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. Ties on chart ranking are broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles, and the market resolves to whichever song finishes in second place after that tiebreak [1]. The rules also state that the market is not endorsed by Spotify and that references to Spotify are descriptive only [1]. The market is a multi-contract event. Each contract asks whether one specific song will be the second most streamed song in the US for 2026. The provider's saved event lists 13 markets in total, and 12 are included in the sample used here, so this is a partial sample rather than the full field [1]. Two of the included contracts list an end date of February 1, 2027 at 04:59 UTC, and the others list December 31, 2026. These are dates recorded in the contract data, not announced publication dates for Spotify's results. Each price shown is a snapshot from the observation time, not an executable quote, and it is not a verified probability that a song will finish second. Because the sample is partial, the included contracts should not be read as the complete list of possible songs, and prices in this sample should not be compared as a ranking of the whole field.
Historical Context
The supplied background sources describe Wikipedia lists of the most streamed songs and albums on Spotify, as well as chart records on the platform [2]. A separate Wikipedia list covers the most streamed artists on Spotify and states that, as of April 2026, Taylor Swift is the most streamed artist in Spotify's history and Bad Bunny is the most streamed male artist [3]. These sources give context about Spotify streaming records generally. They do not describe the history of this specific 2026 song ranking, so no further historical account is given here.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which single song Spotify reports as its second most streamed song in the United States for 2026. Under the rules, the outcome depends on Spotify's official annual information and on chart ranking, with alphabetical title order used to break ties [1]. The contract also depends on Spotify publishing that information by the stated January 31, 2027 deadline. If it does not, the rules direct the market to resolve to "Other" [1]. Anyone reading the contract should therefore separate three things: the price at which a contract was observed, the date the provider's data was retrieved, and the date the outcome is actually determined under the rules.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines the outcome of this market?
The market resolves according to the song Spotify lists as its #2 song in the US for 2026. Songs are primarily ranked by chart ranking, and the resolution source is official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped [1].
What happens if Spotify does not publish its result in time?
If Spotify does not release who its #2 US song for 2026 is by January 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1].
How are ties handled?
If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, the tie is broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles, and the market resolves to the song in second place after that ranking [1].
Does a contract price show the chance that a song will finish second?
No. The prices in this sample are snapshots taken at the observation time. They are not executable quotes and are not verified probabilities of any outcome.
Is the sample of contracts complete?
No. The saved event lists 13 markets and 12 are included in this sample, so it is a partial sample. Omitted contracts should not be assumed to have any particular price, and the sample should not be combined with rankings from other events or providers [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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