GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

#2 US Spotify Song 2026

Name: #2 US Spotify Song 2026
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$28.94K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

#2 US Spotify Song 2026

Vol

$28.94K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $28.94K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $28.94K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Poly	75%
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Poly	22%
Will Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Billie Jean – Michael Jackson be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Poly	0%
Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Poly	0%
Will APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Swim – BTS be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Poly	0%
Will hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

75%

Top Probability

$28.94K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song in the US for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song in the US of 2026. The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** #2 US Spotify Song 2026
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (117 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song in the US for 2026. 

This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song in the US of 2026.

The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song in the US for 2026. 

This market will resolve according to the name of the song list"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $28.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $18.7K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.55)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $82
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $7.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $466
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $605
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $196
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $82
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $366
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $18.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Swim – BTS be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $248
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Billie Jean – Michael Jackson be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $529
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $82
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $74
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $242
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture