Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The source is a Polymarket event titled "Liga MX: 2026 Apertura Top Goalscorer" [1]. Each market asks whether one named player will be the top goalscorer of the 2026 Liga MX Apertura. The rules state that the market "will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the regular season of the 2026 Liga MX Apertura competition" [1].

Only Apertura matches count. Goals in other competitions, including the Campeon de Campeones, CONCACAF Champions Cup, Leagues Cup, and international matches, are excluded [1]. The rules also set a tie-break: if players tie, the market resolves to "the player whose last name comes first alphabetically" [1]. If the season is canceled or not completed by December 27, 2026, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The stated primary source is official Liga MX statistics, and "a consensus of credible reporting may also be used" [1].

The listed end time is 2026-12-28T04:59:00.000Z [1]. This is a listed close time, not an announced resolution date, and it falls one day after the December 27 cutoff in the rules.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-16T03:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T04:47:40Z [1]. These prices describe that earlier snapshot. They do not show live prices at the time you read this.

The sample is partial. The event has 16 markets, and 12 are included [1]. The included markets are selected by the highest Yes price, then by volume, so the four omitted markets are not shown and should not be assumed to have lower prices. Each included market shows a Yes price of 0.37 and a No price of 0.63 [1]. Because the included rows show identical values, the snapshot does not reveal any ranking among these players.

These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The data does not include volume or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many people hold each view.

Each market is a separate contract. Matching prices across rows do not mean the markets are equivalent, and different prices would not by themselves indicate an opportunity.

What remains uncertain

The source does not explain why prices are where they are, and this summary does not offer a reason. It also does not provide current standings, goal totals, player availability, or any news about the competition. The excerpt does not say whether the season is on schedule. Readers should check the official Liga MX statistics named in the rules and the current provider page for later prices.

References

1. Polymarket: Liga MX: 2026 Apertura Top Goalscorer. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.