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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?

Name: Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.18K

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?

Vol

$2.18K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.18K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.18K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?	Poly	51%
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?	Poly	40%
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the June meeting?	Poly	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

51%

Top Probability

$2.18K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.

This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia af"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.1K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.04)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the June meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $945
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $698
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $538
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy