Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Pro Football: 2026-27 30+ Passing Touchdowns

Name: Pro Football: 2026-27 30+ Passing Touchdowns
End: 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$10.80K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Pro Football: 2026-27 30+ Passing Touchdowns

Vol

$10.80K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $10.80K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.80K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

26 markets tracked

Will Patrick Mahomes have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(26)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Patrick Mahomes have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	81%
Will Dak Prescott have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	67%
Will Brock Purdy have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	58%
Will Trevor Lawrence have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	53%
Will Jared Goff have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	42%
Will Joe Burrow have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	40%
Will Josh Allen have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	39%
Will Matthew Stafford have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	39%
Will Bryce Young have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	36%
Will Jalen Hurts have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	33%
Will Sam Darnold have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	30%
Will Tyler Shough have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	27%
Will Drake Maye have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	26%
Will Jordan Love have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	24%
Will Aaron Rodgers have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	19%
Will C.J. Stroud have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	18%
Will Bo Nix have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	16%
Will Caleb Williams have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	14%
Will Cameron Ward have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	14%
Will Lamar Jackson have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	13%
Will Justin Herbert have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	13%
Will Malik Willis have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	10%
Will Jayden Daniels have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	8%
Will Jaxson Dart have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	6%
Will Baker Mayfield have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	5%
Will Fernando Mendoza have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

81%

Top Probability

$10.80K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns the listed player records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 30. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No".

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Pro Football: 2026-27 30+ Passing Touchdowns
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 27, 2027 (108 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns the listed player records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 30. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count.

If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No".



**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns the listed player records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 30. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Confere"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.3K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.76)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Jared Goff have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $255
  DATA: [Yes: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Dak Prescott have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Joe Burrow have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $831
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Matthew Stafford have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $80
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Brock Purdy have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $627
  DATA: [Yes: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Drake Maye have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $119
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Trevor Lawrence have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Sam Darnold have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Tyler Shough have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Caleb Williams have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will C.J. Stroud have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $301
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Justin Herbert have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $21
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Josh Allen have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Jordan Love have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $201
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Bo Nix have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $150
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Cameron Ward have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Jalen Hurts have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Jayden Daniels have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Lamar Jackson have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $180
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Jaxson Dart have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $320
  DATA: [Yes: 5.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.3% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Bryce Young have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $385
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Malik Willis have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Fernando Mendoza have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $275
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.1% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Patrick Mahomes have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $119
  DATA: [Yes: 80.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Baker Mayfield have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $172
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Aaron Rodgers have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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