Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Will Delaware credit-intermediation employment increase YoY in 2026?

Total Volume

$7.40K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Will Delaware credit-intermediation employment increase YoY in 2026?

Vol

$7.40K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $7.40K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.40K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will the annual average credit-intermediation employment level for Delaware for 2026 be above 26.0 thousand employees?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the annual average credit-intermediation employment level for Delaware for 2026 be above 26.0 thousand employees?	Kalshi	17%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

17%

Top Probability

$7.40K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 If the annual average credit-intermediation employment level for Delaware in the specified BLS series for 2026 is above 26.0 thousand employees, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the annual average of not-seasonally-adjusted all-employee payroll employment in Delaware for Credit Intermediation and Related Activities Including Monetary Authorities - Central Bank. Employment is measured in thousands of employees. This is a BLS-defined industry category and should not be de

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Delaware credit-intermediation employment increase YoY in 2026?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If the annual average credit-intermediation employment level for Delaware in the specified BLS series for 2026 is above 

26.0 thousand employees, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the annual average of not-seasonally-adjusted all-employee payroll employment in Delaware for Credit Intermediation and Related Activities Including Monetary Authorities - Central Bank. Employment is measured in thousands of employees. This is a BLS-defined industry category and should not be de

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the annual average credit-intermediation employment level for Delaware in the specified BLS series for 2026 is above 

26.0 thousand employees, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the annual average of not-seasonally-adjusted all-employee payroll employment in Dela"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the annual average credit-intermediation employment level for Delaware for 2026 be above 26.0 thousand employees?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $7.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics