GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

Jun 2026 temperature increase?

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Jun 2026 temperature increase?

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

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6 markets tracked

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.03 to 1.09)

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Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.03 to 1.09)	Kalshi	100%
Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)	Kalshi	1%
Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.02999 or below)	Kalshi	1%
Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)	Kalshi	1%
Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)	Kalshi	1%
Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.10 to 1.16)	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

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About This Event

In Jun 2026 If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jun 2026 is X Y then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Jun 2026 temperature increase?
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In Jun 2026

If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jun 2026 is X Y then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jun 2026 is between 1.24-1.30, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.02999 or below)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.10 to 1.16)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.03 to 1.09)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather

Jun 2026 temperature increase?

In Jun 2026 If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jun 2026 is X Y then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume$0.00

Markets6

6 of 6

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KALSHI

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.03 to 1.09)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.03 to 1.09)

If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jun 2026 is between 1.03-1.09, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jun 2026 is above 1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.02999 or below)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.02999 or below)

If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jun 2026 is below 1.03, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)

If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jun 2026 is between 1.24-1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)

If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jun 2026 is between 1.17-1.23, then the market resolves to Yes.

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17¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/CahoUp" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Jun 2026 temperature increase?"></iframe>

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Jun 2026 temperature increase?

Jun 2026 temperature increase?

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Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.03 to 1.09)

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Jun 2026 temperature increase?

Markets (6)

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.03 to 1.09)

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.03 to 1.09)

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.02999 or below)

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.02999 or below)

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)

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Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.03 to 1.09)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Jun 2026 temperature increase?

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.03 to 1.09)

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.03 to 1.09)

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.02999 or below)

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.02999 or below)

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)

Jun 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)

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