Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The supplied Polymarket event asks which club will finish as runner-up in the 2026 K League 2. Each listed club has its own Yes/No contract. According to the rules, the market "will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the K League 2 for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No"" [1]. The rules also say that if a club becomes unable to finish as runner-up, its market resolves to "No," and that a tie among second-place finishers goes to the team whose name comes first alphabetically [1].

The rules name official K League 2 information as the resolution source, with "a consensus of credible reporting" as a possible supplement [1]. If the event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no runner-up is declared in time, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The listed end time is 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z [1]. This is a field in the contract data, not an announced event date.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z, and the system retrieved the source at 2026-10-16T07:23:57.792Z. These values describe that earlier observation, not live conditions.

All nine saved markets are included, and the coverage record marks the sample as not partial [1]. Seven contracts show a Yes price of 0.385, and three show 0.38: Chungnam Asan, Gyeongnam FC, and Seoul E-Land. Because the Yes prices across the nine contracts total about 3.84, they cannot be read as one probability split across the field. Each contract should be read on its own.

The three lower prices differ by 0.005 from the others. That gap is small, and the snapshot does not explain it. The evidence does not show why any price is where it is, and nothing here indicates trading activity or how many traders hold a view.

These are quoted snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Comparing them with prices on other platforms would require matching the exact wording, close times, and resolution sources.

What remains uncertain

The sample covers only the saved provider event. The source states that its counts "describe the saved provider event, not the whole real-world field," and that inclusion "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Nothing in the evidence confirms the season's final standings, and the evidence contains no recent reporting on the league.

References

1. Polymarket: K League 2: 2026 Runner-Up. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z.