Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Visitors to Florida in 2026

Total Volume

$190.08K

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Markets

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Visitors to Florida in 2026

Vol

$190.08K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $190.08K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $190.08K

100%

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7 markets tracked

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 136 million?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 136 million?	Kalshi	98%
Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 138 million?	Kalshi	95%
Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 140 million?	Kalshi	80%
Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 142 million?	Kalshi	48%
Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 144 million?	Kalshi	13%
Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 146 million?	Kalshi	3%
Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 148 million?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$190.08K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

2026 If VISIT FLORIDA reports that the number of visitors to Florida in calendar year 2026 is above X million, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the statewide total visitor estimate for calendar year 2026, measured in visitor person-trips. The total includes domestic, Canadian, and overseas visitors and excludes Florida residents. It does not use visitor days, hotel stays, airport passengers, or tourism spending. Resolution uses the first official publication containing the com

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Visitors to Florida in 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If VISIT FLORIDA reports that the number of visitors to Florida in calendar year 2026 is above X million, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the statewide total visitor estimate for calendar year 2026, measured in visitor person-trips. The total includes domestic, Canadian, and overseas visitors and excludes Florida residents. It does not use visitor days, hotel stays, airport passengers, or tourism spending. Resolution uses the first official publication containing the com

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If VISIT FLORIDA reports that the number of visitors to Florida in calendar year 2026 is above 

148 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the statewide total visitor estimate for calendar year 2026, measured in visitor person-trips. The total includes domestic"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $190.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 148 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $24.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 136 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $38.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 138 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $32.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 146 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $10.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 144 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $20.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 142 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $30.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 140 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $34.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 79.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Visitors to Florida in 2026

Volume$190.08K

Markets7

7 of 7

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KALSHI

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 136 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 136 million?

If VISIT FLORIDA reports that the number of visitors to Florida in calendar year 2026 is above 136 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the statewide total visitor estimate for calendar year 2026, measured in visitor person-trips. The total includes domestic

KALSHI

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 138 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 138 million?

If VISIT FLORIDA reports that the number of visitors to Florida in calendar year 2026 is above 138 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the statewide total visitor estimate for calendar year 2026, measured in visitor person-trips. The total includes domestic

KALSHI

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 140 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 79.5¢No 20.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 140 million?

If VISIT FLORIDA reports that the number of visitors to Florida in calendar year 2026 is above 140 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the statewide total visitor estimate for calendar year 2026, measured in visitor person-trips. The total includes domestic

KALSHI

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 142 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 142 million?

If VISIT FLORIDA reports that the number of visitors to Florida in calendar year 2026 is above 142 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the statewide total visitor estimate for calendar year 2026, measured in visitor person-trips. The total includes domestic

KALSHI

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 144 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 144 million?

If VISIT FLORIDA reports that the number of visitors to Florida in calendar year 2026 is above 144 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the statewide total visitor estimate for calendar year 2026, measured in visitor person-trips. The total includes domestic

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/DP5ZW7" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Visitors to Florida in 2026"></iframe>

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Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 136 million?

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Events (1)

Visitors to Florida in 2026

Markets (7)

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 136 million?

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 136 million?

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 138 million?

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 138 million?

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 140 million?

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 140 million?

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 142 million?

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 142 million?

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 144 million?

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 144 million?

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Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 136 million?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Visitors to Florida in 2026

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 136 million?

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 136 million?

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 138 million?

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 138 million?

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 140 million?

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 140 million?

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 142 million?

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 142 million?

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 144 million?

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 144 million?

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