Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?

Total Volume

$29.86K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?

Vol

$29.86K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $29.86K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $29.86K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will Florida visitors in 2026 be above 143.33 million visitors?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Florida visitors in 2026 be above 143.33 million visitors?	Kalshi	22%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

22%

Top Probability

$29.86K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 If VISIT FLORIDA reports that Florida visitors in calendar year 2026 are above 143.33 million visitors, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the statewide total visitor estimate for calendar year 2026, measured in visitor person-trips, as reported by VISIT FLORIDA. The total includes domestic, Canadian, and overseas visitors and excludes Florida residents. It does not use airport passengers, hotel stays, visitor days, or tourism spending. Resolution uses the first official

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If VISIT FLORIDA reports that Florida visitors in calendar year 2026 are above 

143.33 million visitors, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the statewide total visitor estimate for calendar year 2026, measured in visitor person-trips, as reported by VISIT FLORIDA. The total includes domestic, Canadian, and overseas visitors and excludes Florida residents. It does not use airport passengers, hotel stays, visitor days, or tourism spending.

Resolution uses the first official

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If VISIT FLORIDA reports that Florida visitors in calendar year 2026 are above 

143.33 million visitors, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the statewide total visitor estimate for calendar year 2026, measured in visitor person-trips, as reported by VISIT FLORIDA. T"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $29.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Florida visitors in 2026 be above 143.33 million visitors?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $29.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics