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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?
Vol

PM $178.3K

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Events

1

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Markets

3

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is June 30, 2027 at 64.5%.

Polymarket

  1. June 30, 202764.5%
  2. March 31, 202752.5%
  3. December 31, 202612.3%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $178.3K

Reported volume · provider units

3

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Will Pete Hegseth be impeached?

Will Pete Hegseth be impeached?

K 6.0K contracts
Will Pete Hegseth be impeached before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 67%
Will Pete Hegseth be impeached before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 54.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?

Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?

PM $6.7K
Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?Yes 43.5%
Will none of these people be impeached by December 31, 2027?Yes 28.5%
Will Donald Trump be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?Yes 12.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will the House impeach first before 2028?

Who will the House impeach first before 2028?

K 750.95 contracts
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Pete Hegseth is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 44%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that none of the officials named in this event is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 37.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Donald Trump is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 12%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiCrypto
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

K 364.2K contracts
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 87%
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 82%
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 74.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
Pete Hegseth departure announced?

Pete Hegseth departure announced?

K 50.4K contracts
Will Pete Hegseth announce their departure as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 29.5%
Will Pete Hegseth announce their departure as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 19%
Will Pete Hegseth announce their departure as Secretary of Defense before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

PM $99.00M · K 5.85M contracts

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 81.7%Rules differK Yes 79.5%

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 16%Rules differK Yes 19.5%

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will María Corina Machado be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.4%Rules differK Yes 5.6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

14 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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