ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on the ZCash price over a five-minute window, listed as "ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET" [1]. According to the saved rules, "This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T05:00:00.000Z [1]. That is the contract's closing time as listed, not a record of when the market resolved. The saved evidence does not show a resolution outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z, and the retrieval time recorded for this evidence is 2026-10-19T07:00:06.156Z [1]. These are the times to use when reading the prices below. They describe the saved record and should not be read as live quotes.
The saved snapshot shows one market with two outcomes: Up at 0.5 and Down at 0.5 [1]. Because these are snapshot prices rather than executable quotes, they do not establish a verified probability. The equal prices in this record simply mean the two outcomes were quoted at the same level at observation time.
Coverage is complete for this saved event. The record lists one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. The sample warning states that the saved markets are all included, but this does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome [1]. Since this is a binary Up or Down contract, there is no omitted outcome to compare.
Volume is not included in this excerpt, so nothing can be said about liquidity or trading activity.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are equal, and this analysis does not attempt to. It does not include any other platform's contract for comparison. Any comparison with a differently worded contract would need to account for its own resolution source, window, and closing time before the prices could be placed side by side.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window crypto contract on Polymarket titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET." The provider describes it as a market on the price of ZCash over a five-minute window, with the outcome set by whether a price measure over that window ends at or above where the window began [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-20T05:00:00.000Z, which corresponds to the 1:00 AM ET close in the title [1]. The saved event record shows the provider status as active [1]. The contract is a binary market with two outcomes, "Up" and "Down" [1]. According to the provider's rules, it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of ZCash over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The rules say this is a comparison within the window itself, so the outcome depends on the measured average relative to the starting price rather than on where the price ends. The resolution source is named as Chainlink, specifically a ZEC/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The provider states that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream and not other sources or spot markets [1]. This means a reader comparing the contract with prices on other exchanges is looking at different reference data. As of the retrieval time for this entry, the listed window had not yet reached its end time, so the contract had not resolved. Any price shown alongside the contract is a saved snapshot and not an executable quote or a verified probability.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a short, defined interval of ZCash pricing. Its rules tie the result to a time-weighted average from one named data stream, so the question it asks is narrower than a general question about where ZCash will trade [1]. Readers should check the resolution source and time range before relying on the contract's labels, because the provider states that other sources and spot markets are not used [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The provider says it resolves Up if the time-weighted average price of ZCash over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and Down otherwise [1].
Which price data is used for resolution?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream. The provider states that other sources and spot markets are not used for this contract [1].
When does the contract end?
The listed end time in the provider data is 2026-10-20T05:00:00.000Z, which matches the 1:00 AM ET end shown in the title [1]. This is the scheduled end recorded by the provider and is not a resolution result.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.