ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on the ZCash price for a specific window, titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET" [1]. The rules say the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream," not other sources or spot markets [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T08:00:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's listed close, not a confirmed resolution. The evidence does not show a resolution outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The saved provider observation is from 2026-10-19T06:00:06Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-19T06:56:58Z [1]. The snapshot shows the status as active, with "Up" priced at 0.5 and "Down" priced at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices from one moment, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. An equal price pair at that time means the provider showed no difference between the two sides; it does not indicate what will happen.
The sample covers one market from one provider event, and it is not a partial sample [1]. Because the event contains only these two outcomes, there is no omitted outcome to compare against. Volume is not reported in this excerpt, so it cannot be used to judge liquidity or how many people traded.
Readers comparing this contract with similar ZCash windows on other platforms should check the wording first. A different title, TWAP source, or listed end time may change what is being priced, so their prices should not be treated as directly comparable or averaged together.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include the ZCash price at the start of the window, any later price data, or a resolution. It also does not explain why the prices stand where they do. The snapshot is hours old relative to the retrieval time, so it should not be read as a current quote. Readers should check the provider page and the Chainlink data stream directly before relying on any price.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a crypto price contract titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET" that is listed on Polymarket [1]. The contract asks whether the price of ZCash (ZEC) over a specific four-hour window will finish at or above where it started. Under the stated rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The contract is a short-horizon directional question about a single asset over a defined interval, rather than a question about a broad event or a long-term price target. The contract's resolution depends on one specific data feed. The source identifies Chainlink as the provider and names the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source [1]. The rules also state that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink TWAP data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, and not according to any other sources or spot markets [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a ZCash price quoted on an exchange or another data site should keep in mind that the two may not be the same measurement. Because the outcome is tied to a TWAP rather than a single moment's price, the result reflects the average across the window compared with the starting level, not simply where the price sits at the end. The listing gives a closing time of 2026-10-20T08:00:00.000Z [1]. That is the listed end time of the contract. It is a date written in the contract rules and should not be read as the moment the outcome is announced or paid out, since the source does not describe a separate resolution timestamp. The provider status is recorded as active in the retrieved listing [1]. Any statement about whether the contract is open or closed at a given moment depends on the time of the snapshot shown alongside this article.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of ZCash's price against the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP over a four-hour window [1]. Its importance for readers lies in the precision of the rules. The outcome is determined by comparing the time-weighted average over the window with the price at the window's start, using a single named data stream [1]. Someone reading the question as a simple comparison of prices at two moments, or using a different ZCash data source, would be looking at a different measurement than the one the contract uses. The rules therefore define what counts as the answer, which is the main thing the contract tells a reader.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up?
The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of ZCash over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What happens if the TWAP is below the starting price?
Under the listed rules, the market resolves to "Down" in that case [1].
Which data source is used to settle the contract?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules state that other sources or spot markets are not used for this market [1].
Does the listed end time show when the outcome is announced?
The listing gives an end time of 2026-10-20T08:00:00.000Z [1]. The source does not describe a separate resolution time, so the listed end time should be read as the contract's closing time rather than a confirmed announcement time.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.