Market snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

Stablecoins depeg before 2027?

Reported volume

PM $304.6K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Stablecoins depeg before 2027?

Vol

PM $304.6K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is PYUSD at 8.4%.

Polymarket

PYUSD8.4%
USD16%
USD06%
USDTb4.4%
USDS3.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

9 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

PYUSD depeg by December 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
PYUSD depeg by December 31?	Poly	8.4%
USD1 depeg by December 31?	Poly	6.0%
USD0 depeg by December 31?	Poly	6.0%
USDTb depeg by December 31?	Poly	4.4%
USDS depeg by December 31?	Poly	3.5%
DAI depeg by December 31?	Poly	3.4%
GHO depeg by December 31?	Poly	2.8%
USDE depeg by December 31?	Poly	2.0%
USDC depeg by December 31?	Poly	1.3%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $304.6K

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Stablecoins depeg before 2027?

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Stablecoins depeg before 2027?
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $304.6K
Coverage: 9 of 9 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: USDC depeg by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1058192; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/usdc-depeg-by-december-31-968
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $267.8K
Outcome Yes: 1.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USDC-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USDC below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.

The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USDC-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDCUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USDC-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USDC information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDC was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.

Contract: USDE depeg by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1058193; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/usde-depeg-by-december-31-434
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $9.1K
Outcome Yes: 2.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USDE-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USDE below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.

The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USDE-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDEUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USDE-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USDE information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDE was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.

Contract: USDS depeg by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1058194; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/usds-depeg-by-december-31-551
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.2K
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USDS-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USDS below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.

The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USDS-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDSUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USDS-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USDS information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDS was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.

Contract: DAI depeg by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1058195; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/dai-depeg-by-december-31-286
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $4.1K
Outcome Yes: 3.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for DAI-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of DAI below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.

The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DAI-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3ADAIUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth DAI-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary DAI information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether DAI was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.

Contract: USD1 depeg by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1058196; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/usd1-depeg-by-december-31-842
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $16.4K
Outcome Yes: 6.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USD1-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USD1 below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.

The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USD1-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSD1USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USD1-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USD1 information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USD1 was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.

Contract: PYUSD depeg by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1058197; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/pyusd-depeg-by-december-31-499
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.4K
Outcome Yes: 8.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for PYUSD-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of PYUSD below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.

The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the PYUSD-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3APYUSDUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth PYUSD-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary PYUSD information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether PYUSD was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.

Contract: USDTb depeg by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1058198; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/usdtb-depeg-by-december-31-535
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.4K
Outcome Yes: 4.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USDTb-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USDTb below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.

The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USDTb-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDTbUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USDTb-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USDTb information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDTb was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.

Contract: USD0 depeg by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1058199; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/usd0-depeg-by-december-31
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.7K
Outcome Yes: 6.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USD0-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USD0 below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.

The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USD0-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSD0USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USD0-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USD0 information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USD0 was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.

Contract: GHO depeg by December 31?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1058200; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/gho-depeg-by-december-31
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.6K
Outcome Yes: 2.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for GHO-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of GHO below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.

The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the GHO-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AGHOUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth GHO-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary GHO information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether GHO was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETCrypto

Stablecoins depeg before 2027?

Volume$304.58K

Markets9

9 of 9

Sort:

PYUSD depeg by December 31?

polymarket

PYUSD depeg by December 31?

Yes: 8.4¢
No: 91.6¢

USD1 depeg by December 31?

polymarket

USD1 depeg by December 31?

Yes: 6.0¢
No: 94.0¢

USD0 depeg by December 31?

polymarket

USD0 depeg by December 31?

Yes: 6.0¢
No: 94.0¢

USDTb depeg by December 31?

polymarket

USDTb depeg by December 31?

Yes: 4.4¢
No: 95.6¢

USDS depeg by December 31?

polymarket

USDS depeg by December 31?

Yes: 3.5¢
No: 96.5¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketCrypto

Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?

PM $605.3K

Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?Yes 3.1%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

PM $1.46M · K 4.64M contracts

Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027?

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Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027?

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PM Yes 27%Rules differK Yes 28.5%

Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Tom Homan leaves White House Border Czar in before 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 22%Rules differK Yes 14.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

12 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiCulture

Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Exponent launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 10%Rules differK Yes 25.5%

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Kalshi: Will Arc launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 12.5%

Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Ostium launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 11.3%Rules differK Yes 11.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

12 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiCulture

Oscar nominees: Best Director

K 142.6K contracts

2027 Best Director Oscar nominations? (Christopher Nolan)Yes 96%

2027 Best Director Oscar nominations? (Javier Calvo)Yes 88.5%

2027 Best Director Oscar nominations? (Martin McDonagh)Yes 70.5%

+24 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

No related news found

Discussion

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Next Market Deadline

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Jan 01, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Same-question pairs

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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Stablecoins depeg before 2027?

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