Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US nominal GDP growth in 2035

Total Volume

$242.22

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

US nominal GDP growth in 2035

Vol

$242.22

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $242.22

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $242.22

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 0.0%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 0.0%?	Kalshi	95%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 0.5%?	Kalshi	92%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 1.0%?	Kalshi	86%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 1.5%?	Kalshi	81%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 2.0%?	Kalshi	75%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 2.5%?	Kalshi	69%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 3.0%?	Kalshi	64%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 3.5%?	Kalshi	58%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 4.0%?	Kalshi	52%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 4.5%?	Kalshi	47%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 5.5%?	Kalshi	35%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 5.0%?	Kalshi	30%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 6.0%?	Kalshi	29%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

95%

Top Probability

$242.22

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2035 If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2035 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 2035 annual value for GDP under “Current-dollar measures” in the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis release titled “GDP, Advance Estimate, 4th Quarter and Year 2035,” or its equivalent successor publication. The value will be taken as reported by BEA, in percentage terms and to the precision published by BEA. Subsequent estimates,

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US nominal GDP growth in 2035
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2035

If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2035 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 2035 annual value for GDP under “Current-dollar measures” in the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis release titled “GDP, Advance Estimate, 4th Quarter and Year 2035,” or its equivalent successor publication. The value will be taken as reported by BEA, in percentage terms and to the precision published by BEA. Subsequent estimates,

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2035 is above 6.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 2035 annual value for GDP under “Current-dollar measures” in the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis release titled “G"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $242
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 6.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 4, 2036): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 5.5%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 4, 2036): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 5.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 4, 2036): Vol $137
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 4.5%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 4, 2036): Vol $80
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 4.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 4, 2036): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 3.5%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 4, 2036): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 3.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 4, 2036): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 2.5%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 4, 2036): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 69.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 2.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 4, 2036): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 75.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 1.5%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 4, 2036): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 81.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 1.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 4, 2036): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 0.5%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 4, 2036): Vol $23
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 0.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 4, 2036): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US nominal GDP growth in 2035

Volume$242.22

Markets13

13 of 13

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KALSHI

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 0.0%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.0¢No 5.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 0.0%?

If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2035 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 2035 annual value for GDP under “Current-dollar measures” in the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis release titled “G

KALSHI

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 0.5%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 0.5%?

If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2035 is above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 2035 annual value for GDP under “Current-dollar measures” in the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis release titled “G

KALSHI

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 1.0%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 86.0¢No 14.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 1.0%?

If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2035 is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 2035 annual value for GDP under “Current-dollar measures” in the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis release titled “G

KALSHI

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 1.5%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 81.0¢No 19.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 1.5%?

If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2035 is above 1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 2035 annual value for GDP under “Current-dollar measures” in the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis release titled “G

KALSHI

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 2.0%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 75.0¢No 25.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 2.0%?

If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2035 is above 2.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 2035 annual value for GDP under “Current-dollar measures” in the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis release titled “G

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US nominal GDP growth in 2035

US nominal GDP growth in 2035

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Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 0.0%?

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Events (1)

US nominal GDP growth in 2035

Markets (13)

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 0.0%?

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 0.0%?

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 0.5%?

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 0.5%?

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 1.0%?

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 1.0%?

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 1.5%?

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 1.5%?

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 2.0%?

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 2.0%?

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Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 0.0%?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US nominal GDP growth in 2035

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 0.0%?

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 0.0%?

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 0.5%?

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 0.5%?

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 1.0%?

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 1.0%?

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 1.5%?

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 1.5%?

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 2.0%?

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 2.0%?

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