Market snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria

Reported volume

PM $886.25

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Markets

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Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria

Vol

PM $886.25

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

As of Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Vučić, Iotova at 67.5%.

Polymarket

Vučić, Iotova67.5%
Srdanović, Iotova26%
Vučić, Gyurov22%
Srdanović, Gyurov9%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

4 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?	Poly	67.5%
Will Ilija Srdanović become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?	Poly	26.0%
Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Andrey Gyurov win Bulgaria?	Poly	22.0%
Will Ilija Srdanović become Serbian PM and Andrey Gyurov win Bulgaria?	Poly	9.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $886.25

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Parliamentary elections in Serbia are scheduled to be held on October 25, 2026. The first round of the Bulgarian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches both of the following: the first Prime Minister of Serbia to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the winner of the Bulgarian presidential election, including any second round. For full rules for the Serbian Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642 For full rules for the Bulgarian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve according to the sources named in the two markets linked above.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria
Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $886.25
Coverage: 4 of 4 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5634828; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-aleksandar-vucic-become-serbian-pm-and-iliana-iotova-win-bulgaria
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $758.12
Outcome Yes: 67.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 32.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Parliamentary elections in Serbia are scheduled to be held on October 25, 2026. The first round of the Bulgarian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches both of the following: the first Prime Minister of Serbia to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the winner of the Bulgarian presidential election.

For full rules for the Serbian Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642

For full rules for the Bulgarian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election

Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. 

In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve according to the sources named in the two markets linked above.

Contract: Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Andrey Gyurov win Bulgaria?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5634829; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-aleksandar-vucic-become-serbian-pm-and-andrey-gyurov-win-bulgaria
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $67.77
Outcome Yes: 22.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 78.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Parliamentary elections in Serbia are scheduled to be held on October 25, 2026. The first round of the Bulgarian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches both of the following: the first Prime Minister of Serbia to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the winner of the Bulgarian presidential election.

For full rules for the Serbian Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642

For full rules for the Bulgarian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election

Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. 

In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve according to the sources named in the two markets linked above.

Contract: Will Ilija Srdanović become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5634830; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ilija-srdanovic-become-serbian-pm-and-iliana-iotova-win-bulgaria
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $34.76
Outcome Yes: 26.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 74.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Parliamentary elections in Serbia are scheduled to be held on October 25, 2026. The first round of the Bulgarian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches both of the following: the first Prime Minister of Serbia to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the winner of the Bulgarian presidential election.

For full rules for the Serbian Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642

For full rules for the Bulgarian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election

Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. 

In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve according to the sources named in the two markets linked above.

Contract: Will Ilija Srdanović become Serbian PM and Andrey Gyurov win Bulgaria?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5634831; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ilija-srdanovic-become-serbian-pm-and-andrey-gyurov-win-bulgaria
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $25.6
Outcome Yes: 9.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Parliamentary elections in Serbia are scheduled to be held on October 25, 2026. The first round of the Bulgarian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches both of the following: the first Prime Minister of Serbia to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the winner of the Bulgarian presidential election.

For full rules for the Serbian Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642

For full rules for the Bulgarian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election

Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. 

In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve according to the sources named in the two markets linked above.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics

Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria

Volume$886.25

Markets4

4 of 4

Sort:

Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?

polymarket

Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?

Yes: 67.5¢
No: 32.5¢

Will Ilija Srdanović become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?

polymarket

Will Ilija Srdanović become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?

Yes: 26.0¢
No: 74.0¢

Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Andrey Gyurov win Bulgaria?

polymarket

Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Andrey Gyurov win Bulgaria?

Yes: 22.0¢
No: 78.0¢

Will Ilija Srdanović become Serbian PM and Andrey Gyurov win Bulgaria?

polymarket

Will Ilija Srdanović become Serbian PM and Andrey Gyurov win Bulgaria?

Yes: 9.0¢
No: 91.0¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

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PolymarketPolitics

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Nov 03, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Same-question pairs

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria

Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria

Current odds