Market snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Event GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform2 EventsElections

Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

Name: Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo
End: 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z

Reported volume

PM $214.7K · K 4.9K contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

Vol

PM $214.7K · K 4.9K contracts

Events

Markets

Polymarket Kalshi

Provider overview

polymarket

$214.7K

Reported lifetime volume

kalshi

4.9K contracts

Reported lifetime volume

Reviewed equivalent pairs

No eligible price comparison

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Price ChartContract price history

12 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

No data available

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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with usable prices. You can inspect related contracts, but their prices do not measure the same outcome.

Market	Polymarket	Kalshi	Diff

Rules & Resolution

Differs

Saved matching review

Related contracts: 12 pairs

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

Review notes

Saved notes may describe earlier contract terms. Use the pair status above and current provider rules.

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 12 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $214.7K · K 4.9K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC

About This Event

Before Oct 27, 2027 If ALL of the following occur: Brazil President: Luiz Inácio Lula da X then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Brazil President, BRPRES, Israel Prime Minister, GOVHEAD, U.S. Senate Control, CONTROL. All conditions must be satisfied before Oct 27, 2027. The CONTROL component may resolve on an accelerated basis as outlined in the full rules. Each component resolves the same way as its Kalshi market: Brazil Presidential election winner, Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election and Which party will win the U.S. Senate?. This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur, resolving to No, or all components have been satisfied, resolving to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $214.7K · K 4.9K contracts
Coverage: 24 of 24 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-FBOL-BNET-D; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrisraelsencombo-27oct
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 662.15 contracts
Outcome Yes: 14.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 86.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If ALL of the following occur: Brazil President: Flávio Bolsonaro, Israel Prime Minister: Benjamin Netanyahu, U.S. Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Brazil President (BRPRES), Israel Prime Minister (GOVHEAD), U.S. Senate Control (CONTROL). All conditions must be satisfied before Oct 27, 2027. The CONTROL component may resolve on an accelerated basis as outlined in the full rules.

Each component resolves the same way as its Kalshi market: Brazil Presidential election winner, Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election and Which party will win the U.S. Senate?. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).

Contract: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5336152; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-flavio-bolsonaro-win-brazil-benjamin-netanyahu-become-israeli-pm-and-democrats-win-the-us-senate
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 5, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $10.8K
Outcome Yes: 14.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 86.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. 

For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election

For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election

For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026

Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. 

In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other."

This market 

Contract: Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-FBOL-BNET-R; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrisraelsencombo-27oct
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 909.38 contracts
Outcome Yes: 11.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 89.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If ALL of the following occur: Brazil President: Flávio Bolsonaro, Israel Prime Minister: Benjamin Netanyahu, U.S. Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Brazil President (BRPRES), Israel Prime Minister (GOVHEAD), U.S. Senate Control (CONTROL). All conditions must be satisfied before Oct 27, 2027. The CONTROL component may resolve on an accelerated basis as outlined in the full rules.

Each component resolves the same way as its Kalshi market: Brazil Presidential election winner, Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election and Which party will win the U.S. Senate?. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).

Contract: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5336149; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-flavio-bolsonaro-win-brazil-benjamin-netanyahu-become-israeli-pm-and-republicans-win-the-us-senate
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 5, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $6.0K
Outcome Yes: 7.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. 

For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election

For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election

For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026

Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. 

In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other."

This market 

Contract: Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-FBOL-GEIZ-D; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrisraelsencombo-27oct
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.3K contracts
Outcome Yes: 31.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 69.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If ALL of the following occur: Brazil President: Flávio Bolsonaro, Israel Prime Minister: Gadi Eizenkot, U.S. Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Brazil President (BRPRES), Israel Prime Minister (GOVHEAD), U.S. Senate Control (CONTROL). All conditions must be satisfied before Oct 27, 2027. The CONTROL component may resolve on an accelerated basis as outlined in the full rules.

Each component resolves the same way as its Kalshi market: Brazil Presidential election winner, Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election and Which party will win the U.S. Senate?. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).

Contract: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5336146; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-flavio-bolsonaro-win-brazil-gadi-eizenkot-become-israeli-pm-and-democrats-win-the-us-senate
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 5, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $178.3K
Outcome Yes: 36.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 63.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. 

For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election

For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election

For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026

Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. 

In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other."

This market 

Contract: Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-FBOL-GEIZ-R; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrisraelsencombo-27oct
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 831.89 contracts
Outcome Yes: 20.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 79.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If ALL of the following occur: Brazil President: Flávio Bolsonaro, Israel Prime Minister: Gadi Eizenkot, U.S. Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Brazil President (BRPRES), Israel Prime Minister (GOVHEAD), U.S. Senate Control (CONTROL). All conditions must be satisfied before Oct 27, 2027. The CONTROL component may resolve on an accelerated basis as outlined in the full rules.

Each component resolves the same way as its Kalshi market: Brazil Presidential election winner, Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election and Which party will win the U.S. Senate?. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).

Contract: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5336143; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-flavio-bolsonaro-win-brazil-gadi-eizenkot-become-israeli-pm-and-republicans-win-the-us-senate
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 5, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $13.6K
Outcome Yes: 14.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 85.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. 

For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election

For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election

For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026

Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. 

In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other."

This market 

Contract: Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Naftali Bennett AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-FBOL-NBEN-D; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrisraelsencombo-27oct
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If ALL of the following occur: Brazil President: Flávio Bolsonaro, Israel Prime Minister: Naftali Bennett, U.S. Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Brazil President (BRPRES), Israel Prime Minister (GOVHEAD), U.S. Senate Control (CONTROL). All conditions must be satisfied before Oct 27, 2027. The CONTROL component may resolve on an accelerated basis as outlined in the full rules.

Each component resolves the same way as its Kalshi market: Brazil Presidential election winner, Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election and Which party will win the U.S. Senate?. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).

Contract: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5336158; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-flavio-bolsonaro-win-brazil-naftali-bennett-become-israeli-pm-and-democrats-win-the-us-senate
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 5, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $521.62
Outcome Yes: 6.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. 

For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election

For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election

For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026

Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. 

In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other."

This market 

Contract: Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Naftali Bennett AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-FBOL-NBEN-R; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrisraelsencombo-27oct
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If ALL of the following occur: Brazil President: Flávio Bolsonaro, Israel Prime Minister: Naftali Bennett, U.S. Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Brazil President (BRPRES), Israel Prime Minister (GOVHEAD), U.S. Senate Control (CONTROL). All conditions must be satisfied before Oct 27, 2027. The CONTROL component may resolve on an accelerated basis as outlined in the full rules.

Each component resolves the same way as its Kalshi market: Brazil Presidential election winner, Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election and Which party will win the U.S. Senate?. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).

Contract: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5336156; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-flavio-bolsonaro-win-brazil-naftali-bennett-become-israeli-pm-and-republicans-win-the-us-senate
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 5, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $356.74
Outcome Yes: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. 

For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election

For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election

For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026

Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. 

In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other."

This market 

Contract: Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-LULA-BNET-D; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrisraelsencombo-27oct
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If ALL of the following occur: Brazil President: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Israel Prime Minister: Benjamin Netanyahu, U.S. Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Brazil President (BRPRES), Israel Prime Minister (GOVHEAD), U.S. Senate Control (CONTROL). All conditions must be satisfied before Oct 27, 2027. The CONTROL component may resolve on an accelerated basis as outlined in the full rules.

Each component resolves the same way as its Kalshi market: Brazil Presidential election winner, Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election and Which party will win the U.S. Senate?. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).

Contract: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5336170; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-luiz-inacio-lula-da-silva-win-brazil-benjamin-netanyahu-become-israeli-pm-and-democrats-win-the-us-senate
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 5, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.3K
Outcome Yes: 4.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. 

For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election

For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election

For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026

Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. 

In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other."

This market 

Contract: Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-LULA-BNET-R; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrisraelsencombo-27oct
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 27 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If ALL of the following occur: Brazil President: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Israel Prime Minister: Benjamin Netanyahu, U.S. Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Brazil President (BRPRES), Israel Prime Minister (GOVHEAD), U.S. Senate Control (CONTROL). All conditions must be satisfied before Oct 27, 2027. The CONTROL component may resolve on an accelerated basis as outlined in the full rules.

Each component resolves the same way as its Kalshi market: Brazil Presidential election winner, Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election and Which party will win the U.S. Senate?. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).

Contract: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5336167; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-luiz-inacio-lula-da-silva-win-brazil-benjamin-netanyahu-become-israeli-pm-and-republicans-win-the-us-senate
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 5, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $740.19
Outcome Yes: 2.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. 

For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election

For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election

For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026

Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. 

In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other."

This market 

Contract: Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-LULA-GEIZ-D; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrisraelsencombo-27oct
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If ALL of the following occur: Brazil President: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Israel Prime Minister: Gadi Eizenkot, U.S. Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Brazil President (BRPRES), Israel Prime Minister (GOVHEAD), U.S. Senate Control (CONTROL). All conditions must be satisfied before Oct 27, 2027. The CONTROL component may resolve on an accelerated basis as outlined in the full rules.

Each component resolves the same way as its Kalshi market: Brazil Presidential election winner, Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election and Which party will win the U.S. Senate?. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).

Contract: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5336164; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-luiz-inacio-lula-da-silva-win-brazil-gadi-eizenkot-become-israeli-pm-and-democrats-win-the-us-senate
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 5, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.8K
Outcome Yes: 8.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. 

For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election

For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election

For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026

Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. 

In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other."

This market 

Contract: Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-LULA-GEIZ-R; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrisraelsencombo-27oct
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.2K contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If ALL of the following occur: Brazil President: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Israel Prime Minister: Gadi Eizenkot, U.S. Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Brazil President (BRPRES), Israel Prime Minister (GOVHEAD), U.S. Senate Control (CONTROL). All conditions must be satisfied before Oct 27, 2027. The CONTROL component may resolve on an accelerated basis as outlined in the full rules.

Each component resolves the same way as its Kalshi market: Brazil Presidential election winner, Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election and Which party will win the U.S. Senate?. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).

Contract: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5336160; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-luiz-inacio-lula-da-silva-win-brazil-gadi-eizenkot-become-israeli-pm-and-republicans-win-the-us-senate
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 5, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $444.82
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. 

For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election

For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election

For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026

Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. 

In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other."

This market 

Contract: Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Naftali Bennett AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-LULA-NBEN-D; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrisraelsencombo-27oct
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If ALL of the following occur: Brazil President: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Israel Prime Minister: Naftali Bennett, U.S. Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Brazil President (BRPRES), Israel Prime Minister (GOVHEAD), U.S. Senate Control (CONTROL). All conditions must be satisfied before Oct 27, 2027. The CONTROL component may resolve on an accelerated basis as outlined in the full rules.

Each component resolves the same way as its Kalshi market: Brazil Presidential election winner, Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election and Which party will win the U.S. Senate?. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).

Contract: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5336176; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-luiz-inacio-lula-da-silva-win-brazil-naftali-bennett-become-israeli-pm-and-democrats-win-the-us-senate
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 5, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $439.67
Outcome Yes: 1.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. 

For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election

For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election

For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026

Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. 

In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other."

This market 

Contract: Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Naftali Bennett AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-LULA-NBEN-R; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrisraelsencombo-27oct
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If ALL of the following occur: Brazil President: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Israel Prime Minister: Naftali Bennett, U.S. Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Brazil President (BRPRES), Israel Prime Minister (GOVHEAD), U.S. Senate Control (CONTROL). All conditions must be satisfied before Oct 27, 2027. The CONTROL component may resolve on an accelerated basis as outlined in the full rules.

Each component resolves the same way as its Kalshi market: Brazil Presidential election winner, Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election and Which party will win the U.S. Senate?. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).

Contract: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5336173; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-luiz-inacio-lula-da-silva-win-brazil-naftali-bennett-become-israeli-pm-and-republicans-win-the-us-senate
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 5, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $303.91
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. 

For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election

For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election

For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026

Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. 

In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other."

This market 

Saved cross-platform review:
polymarket-5336143 / kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-FBOL-GEIZ-R: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?"; listed deadline 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 17, 2026, 5:04 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 12 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-5336146 / kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-FBOL-GEIZ-D: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?"; listed deadline 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 17, 2026, 5:04 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 12 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-5336164 / kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-LULA-GEIZ-D: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?"; listed deadline 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 17, 2026, 5:04 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 12 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-5336149 / kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-FBOL-BNET-R: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?"; listed deadline 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 17, 2026, 5:04 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 12 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-5336160 / kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-LULA-GEIZ-R: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?"; listed deadline 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 17, 2026, 5:04 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 12 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-5336173 / kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-LULA-NBEN-R: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Naftali Bennett AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?"; listed deadline 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 17, 2026, 5:04 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 12 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-5336158 / kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-FBOL-NBEN-D: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Naftali Bennett AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?"; listed deadline 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 17, 2026, 5:04 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 12 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-5336176 / kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-LULA-NBEN-D: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Naftali Bennett AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?"; listed deadline 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 17, 2026, 5:04 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 12 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-5336156 / kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-FBOL-NBEN-R: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Naftali Bennett AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?"; listed deadline 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 17, 2026, 5:04 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 12 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-5336170 / kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-LULA-BNET-D: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?"; listed deadline 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 17, 2026, 5:04 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 12 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-5336167 / kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-LULA-BNET-R: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?"; listed deadline 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 17, 2026, 5:04 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 12 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-5336152 / kalshi-KXBRISRAELSENCOMBO-27OCT-FBOL-BNET-D: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?"; listed deadline 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 17, 2026, 5:04 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 12 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

Volume$4.92K

Markets12

POLYMARKETPolitics

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026 Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve according to the sources named in the three markets linked above.

Volume$214.72K

Markets12

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Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

Related contracts

The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?"; listed deadline 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Reviewed: Sat, 17 Oct 2026 05:04:53 GMT

Review notes

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

kalshi

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

Yes: 31.0¢
No: 69.0¢

polymarket

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

Yes: 36.5¢
No: 63.5¢

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?

Related contracts

The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?"; listed deadline 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Reviewed: Sat, 17 Oct 2026 05:04:53 GMT

Review notes

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

kalshi

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?

Yes: 20.5¢
No: 79.5¢

polymarket

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?

Yes: 14.5¢
No: 85.5¢

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

Related contracts

The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?"; listed deadline 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Reviewed: Sat, 17 Oct 2026 05:04:53 GMT

Review notes

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

kalshi

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

Yes: 14.0¢
No: 86.0¢

polymarket

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

Yes: 14.0¢
No: 86.0¢

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?

Related contracts

The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?"; listed deadline 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Reviewed: Sat, 17 Oct 2026 05:04:53 GMT

Review notes

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

kalshi

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?

Yes: 11.0¢
No: 89.0¢

polymarket

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?

Yes: 7.5¢
No: 92.5¢

Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

Related contracts

The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?"; listed deadline 2026-11-05T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Reviewed: Sat, 17 Oct 2026 05:04:53 GMT

Review notes

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

kalshi

Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

Yes: 3.5¢
No: 96.5¢

polymarket

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

Yes: 8.2¢
No: 91.8¢

No related news found

Discussion

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Next Market Deadline

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Nov 05, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Reviewed equivalent pairs

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

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Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

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Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

Markets (12)

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?

Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

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Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

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Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?

Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

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