Market snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Event GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform2 EventsElections

Collin County Judge winner?

Reported volume

PM $26.4K · K 1.4K contracts

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Collin County Judge winner?

Vol

PM $26.4K · K 1.4K contracts

Events

Markets

Polymarket Kalshi

Provider overview

polymarket

$26.4K

Reported lifetime volume

kalshi

1.4K contracts

Reported lifetime volume

Reviewed equivalent pairs

No eligible price comparison

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Price ChartContract price history

2 markets tracked

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Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Collin County Judge winner?

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Market	Polymarket	Kalshi	Diff

Rules & Resolution

Differs

Saved matching review

Related contracts: 2 pairs

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

Review notes

Saved notes may describe earlier contract terms. Use the pair status above and current provider rules.

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Collin County Judge winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "2026 Collin County Judge Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $26.4K · K 1.4K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

In 2026 If X wins the 2026 Collin County Judge general election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Collin County Judge winner?
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $26.4K · K 1.4K contracts
Coverage: 4 of 4 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Who will win the 2026 Collin County Judge general election? (Chris Hill)
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCOLLINCOUNTYJUDGE-26-CHIL; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcollincountyjudge-26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 667.06 contracts
Outcome Yes: 83.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 17.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Chris Hill wins the 2026 Collin County Judge general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2694497; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-chris-hill-win-the-2026-collin-county-judge-election-20260626003643463
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $17.3K
Outcome Yes: 85.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 14.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Collin County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Collin County, TX.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Collin County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Collin County.

Contract: Who will win the 2026 Collin County Judge general election? (John Brown)
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCOLLINCOUNTYJUDGE-26-JBRO; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcollincountyjudge-26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 703 contracts
Outcome Yes: 15.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 84.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If John Brown wins the 2026 Collin County Judge general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will John R. "Buster" Brown win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2694498; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-john-rpt-buster-brown-win-the-2026-collin-county-judge-election-20260626003643464
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $9.1K
Outcome Yes: 11.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 88.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Collin County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Collin County, TX.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Collin County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Collin County.

Saved cross-platform review:
polymarket-2694498 / kalshi-KXCOLLINCOUNTYJUDGE-26-JBRO: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Who will win the 2026 Collin County Judge general election? (John Brown)"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will John R. \"Buster\" Brown win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 19, 2026, 7:04 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Collin County Judge winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "2026 Collin County Judge Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-2694497 / kalshi-KXCOLLINCOUNTYJUDGE-26-CHIL: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Who will win the 2026 Collin County Judge general election? (Chris Hill)"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 19, 2026, 7:04 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Collin County Judge winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "2026 Collin County Judge Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Collin County Judge winner?

Volume$1.37K

Markets2

POLYMARKETPolitics

2026 Collin County Judge Election Winner

The 2026 Collin County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Collin County, TX. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Collin County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Collin County.

Volume$26.43K

Markets2

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Who will win the 2026 Collin County Judge general election? (Chris Hill)

Related contracts

The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Who will win the 2026 Collin County Judge general election? (Chris Hill)"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Reviewed: Mon, 19 Oct 2026 07:04:49 GMT

Review notes

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

kalshi

Who will win the 2026 Collin County Judge general election? (Chris Hill)

Yes: 83.0¢
No: 17.0¢

polymarket

Will Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?

Yes: 85.5¢
No: 14.5¢

Who will win the 2026 Collin County Judge general election? (John Brown)

Related contracts

The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Who will win the 2026 Collin County Judge general election? (John Brown)"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T14:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will John R. \"Buster\" Brown win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Reviewed: Mon, 19 Oct 2026 07:04:49 GMT

Review notes

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

kalshi

Who will win the 2026 Collin County Judge general election? (John Brown)

Yes: 15.5¢
No: 84.5¢

polymarket

Will John R. "Buster" Brown win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?

Yes: 11.5¢
No: 88.5¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics

Collin County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent

K 748.61 contracts

Will James Talarico receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?Yes 94%

Will James Talarico receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?Yes 84%

Will James Talarico receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?Yes 64.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Bexar County Judge winner?

PM $21.5K · K 32.0K contracts

Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?

Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 Bexar County Judge general election? (Ron Nirenberg)

Related contracts

PM Yes 96%Rules differK Yes 98%

Will Patrick Von Dohlen win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?

Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 Bexar County Judge general election? (Patrick Von Dohlen)

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.5%Rules differK Yes 2%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

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Next Market Deadline

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Nov 04, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Reviewed equivalent pairs

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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